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Bayern Munchen will be keen to erase that shameful 3-0 home defeat to Dortmund with a convincing win against Kaiserslautern and a qualification to the DFB Pokal last act. Kaiserslautern will come at Allianz Arena knowing their odds to reach the final are very slim, but hoping for a miracle.
Bayern wasn’t very convincing in dispatching Manchester United in the Champions League quarters and they were even worse in their last 3 Bundesliga games, where they gained just 1 point. If the draw against Hoffenheim and the defeat to Augsburg could be considered accidents due to lack of motivation, the 0-3 humiliation to Dortmund just a couple of days ago clearly indicates some problems with Guardiola’s side. Surely this is the worst Bayern has played under Pep, as until a few weeks ago the bavarians had only a handful of games they failed to win all season.
Kaiserlsautern must overcome a 5 point deficit in 4 rounds in the German second league if they are to catch that promotion playoff spot, a nearly impossible task. The visitors have been very hard to beat lately but they also lacked that killer instinct and lost a lot of points due to draws: 3 wins, 4 draws in the last 7 games. Last time out Kaiserslautern won 3-2 at St. Pauli, mantaining hope for promotion and getting some morale before this seemingly impossible Bayern game. Lautern reached the Cup semifinals by taking advantage of Leverkusen’s crisis 2 months ago and getting a 1-0 extra time win on the road.
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Team news & lineups
Guardiola will not rest any players, this match is important for Bayern and the hosts will play their best first 11. With the title booked and no Champions league football until next week, there’s no reason for Bayern to take this game lightly. There are not too many injuries or suspensions for either team, and both sides should be able to field something very close to their strongest lineups.
Bayern Munich: Neuer – Lahm, Boateng, Dante, Alaba – Schweinsteiger, T. Kroos – Robben, T. Muller, Ribery – Mandzukic
FC Kaiserslautern: Sippel – Dick, Orban, Torrejon, Lowe – Karl, Jenssen – Matmour, Idrissou (Fortounis) – Lakic, Zoller
Everything screams a massive Bayern win here with all sorts of handicaps and I agree with the odds. The difference between these two sides is simply huge and the hosts are very motivated for this game, both to reach the final and to recover after that Dortmund defeat. Guardiola’s strong projected lineup clearly indicates how important this game is for the hosts. I fancy Bayern to cover a big handicap, I`m also counting on the fact that Kaiserslautern can’t sit back and defend a honorable loss if the score is 1-0 or 2-0 as this is not a league game – they will try to qualify, thus leaving open spaces for the Bavarians to exploit. My tip is Bayern -2,5. Prediction: Bayern Munchen – FC Kaiserslautern 4-0.
Pick: Bayern (-2,5)
Odds: 1.72 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.76
Event date: 16 April
