Bayern Munchen – Man Utd

Bayern Munchen Manchester United betting previewUnited got a pretty good 1-1 result in the first leg, though after leading 1-0 the Manchester side would have obviously loved to keep it that way. Now Bayern will be the huge favorite to qualify in the semifinals, but they might be in for another tight contest.

Bayern has played some great football under Guardiola this season, being the best team in Europe for most of the season. The hosts are leading the league by no less than 20 points, have been dominant in the UCL and broke all sorts of winning and undefeated records. However, since mathematically winning the Bundesliga, the Bavarians dropped their level a little bit. Bayern did not win in the last three games and most notably lost their first Bundesliga game this season over the weekend 1-0 at Augsburg. While, of course, these results are understandable considering there`s no more motivation for Bayern in the league, they still do pinpoint a slight decrease in the level of play.

United struggled big time under David Moyes and faced a lot of criticism this season, but it was always going to be a transition period after Sir Alex Ferguson. Lately United seems to have found some consistent form, winning their last two Premier League games with an 8-1 aggregate score and of course putting on that impressive performance in the first leg against Bayern. Indeed, the germans had the possession and deserved to win if you consider this the most important thing, but the result was pretty fair in my opinion with United playing good reactive football and creating chances.

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Team news & lineups

Bayern has big problems in the defensive midfield area, missing Javi Martinez, Schweinsteiger and Thiago Alcantara. Badstuber and Shaqiri are also out. Manchester United will have to do without Mata, van Persie, Fellaini, Evans and Rafael, while Rooney and Young are doubtful. However, Rooney will almost surely start.

Bayern Munchen: Neuer – Alaba, Dante, Boateng, Rafinha – Lahm, Kroos – Ribery, Gotze, Robben – Mandzukic

Manchester United: De Gea – Evra, Ferdinand, Vidic, Jones – Cleverley, Carrick – Valencia, Young, Welbeck – Rooney

No matter how weird it sounds, recently Manchester United has been in better form than Bayern. Of course the germans are still heavy favorites and will probably play much better today than in the last couple of games, but the visitors are way underrated here, their odds are way too high, as they do have a fighting chance. If United can defend like in the first leg and put pressure on counters, it will be a long night for Bayern, and this is not impossible since the english side played much better on the road than at home this season. As I said, Bayern is still the favorite and can even win big on their day, so this bet will need a little bit of luck to be a winner, but My tip is Manchester United to qualify as I feel it has huge value at these odds. Prediction: Bayern Munchen – Manchester United 1-1 (2-2 extra-time).

Pick: Manchester United to qualify
Odds: 7.00 @ Bet365
Stake: 3
Possible profit: 18
Event date: 9 April

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

2 comments

  1. Taking everything you wrote into consideration, would you say an Under 3 goals bet here for 2.07 at Pinnacle is worth it ?

    • it does look ok but personally I think looking for value is the best choice here. Bayern can win 3-1, 3-0 or 4-0 if it happens to be their day.

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