Bayern – Dortmund

Bayern Dortmund DFB Pokal final prediction

The last match of the season in Germany will see rivals Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund fight for the DFB Pokal trophy, with the final set to be played in Berlin.

Bayern was rather disappointing since Guardiola made it known he is leaving for Manchester City. Sure, the Bavarians won their last 3 matches, but all victories were unimpressive. They got knocked out of the Champions League (could have been eliminated even earlier) and prolonged the suspense for the Bundesliga title much longer than it was necessary, due to some unexpected draws and losses. Make no mistake, Bayern remains one of the best sides in the world, but they haven`t played at full potential in a very long time.

Dortmund has a draw and a loss in the last two matches, but their focus has been on this DFB Pokal final ever since they were (undeservingly) knocked out by Liverpool in the Europa League semifinals. Prior to the last two matches, Dortmund was riding a run of 4 consecutive wins by 3 or more goals. It has been a good season for Tuchel’s side, with Dortmund being (almost) back at that world class level they were showing a few years back.

Place your bet on Bayern vs. Dortmund with the best DFB Pokal odds at Unibet now!

Team news & lineups:

Robben, Badstuber and Gotze are out for Bayern, while Alonso and Martinez are questionable. Dortmund will miss Gundogan and Subotic, while Reus and Park are doubtful. All questionable players (for both teams) should be ready for the starting lineups if the managers decide they deserve their spots.

Bayern Munich: Neuer – Lahm, Martinez, Boateng, Alaba – Alonso (Vidal) – Costa, Alcantara, Muller, Ribery – Lewandowski

Borussia Dortmund: Burki – Piszczek, Hummels, Sokratis, Schmelzer – Castro, Weigl – Reus, Mkhitaryan, Kagawa – Aubameyang

Bayern Munchen has made it a habit of losing these type of matches lately. They lost in the DFB Pokal final last year to Dortmund and they also lost all Supercups in the last three years (Dortmund twice, Wolfsburg). Domestic Cup trophies don`t seem to go Bayern’s way lately, as they continue to lose these finals.

With Bayern not looking great lately after Guardiola’s announced departure and with this being the match of the season for Dortmund, an upset is very possible here. Borussia has played some great football this season and they are desperate to end it with a trophy. Bayern already won the title and they have more players concerned with Euro 2016 participation than Dortmund. Bayern will be obviously motivated as well, but the cliche “who wants it more” might apply here. It can`t be a coincidence that Bayern lost most of the recent Cup / Supercup finals, they are probably not as focused as their rivals.

This season Bayern won 5-1 at home and Dortmund held for a 0-0 draw at home. I can see another draw here, with Dortmund willing to give that 1% more in extra time and clinching a close win. If it goes to penalties, it`s 50-50, so value on Dortmund to win at the current odds. My tip is Dortmund to lift the trophy, but I`m keeping the stakes on this bet at a medium – low level. Prediction: Bayern Munchen – Borussia Dortmund 1-1 (1-2 extra time).

Pick: Dortmund to win the DFB Pokal
Odds: 2.85 @ Unibet
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 9.25
Event date: 21 May

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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