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CSKA Moscow will qualify from the second place if they beat Bayern and Roma does not defeat City, while the Germans are safe from any worries on the first place.
Pep Guardiola has made it clear that he won’t accept another letdown after Bayern clearly took their foot off the gas late in Manchester, conceding two goals to City and losing 3-2. It was the only time Bayern failed to win in the last 8 matches, actually only the third time this season and their first loss. The Bavarians are posting some incredible statistics with 17 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in addition to an amazing goal scoring appetite. Bayern is on the back of a 1-0 win over Leverkusen, the 5th successive victory in which they did not concede a goal.
CSKA`s late equalizer against Roma means that the Russians have a fighting chance to qualify 2nd or at least reach the Europa League group stage, but they need to get something in Munich. CSKA has won the last three games and is looking pretty good coming into this clash, but of course the level of opposition is totally different.
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Team news & lineups:
Pep Guardiola is not expected to make too many changes in the lineup aside from the unavailable players. Badstuber, Martinez, Lahm, Alcantara, Alaba, Pizzaro and Benatia are all out. Team news for CSKA are much better, the Russians have Berezoutski doubtful, while Elm is the only definite absentee.
Bayern: Neuer – Bernat, Boateng, Dante, Rafinha – Alonso, Rode, Hojbjerg – Robben, Ribery; Lewandowski
CSKA: Akinfeev – Berezutski, Ignashevich, Schennikov, Fernandes – Eremenko, Natcho – Cauna, Musa, Dzagoev – Doumbia
On paper CSKA has a chance here, they are expected to come out guns blazing against a relaxed Bayern side and create some chances, but I think the game will unfold in a totally different manner. CSKA will come in with confidence but they will be quickly overwhelmed by the task at hand. Guardiola will field a solid lineup that should be able to complete the job with ease, a second Champions League letdown will not be accepted so there will be some motivation for the hosts. Bayern will probably score sometime in the first half and will proceed to ride the advantage without too much stress against a clearly inferior side. My tip is Bayern Munchen to win to nil – keeping the stakes reasonable on this bet, but I expect it to be a winner. Prediction: Bayern Munchen – CSKA Moscow 2-0.
Pick: Bayern win to nil
Odds: 2.15 @ Bet365
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 8.05
Event date: 10 December
