Bayern Munich hosts Shakhtar Donetsk with qualification to the Champions League quarterfinals on the line. The Ukraineans got an impressive 0-0 draw in the first leg, even if in all honesty they did not deserve it.
Bayern entered maximum form at the right time … for sure something Guardiola prepared early in the start of the season. Except the 0-0 draw vs. Shakhtar, Bayern won 6 games in a row with amazing performances as can be seen in the overall goal difference: 25-2. Bayern`s manager was full of praise for the opposition before today’s game but I am sure he is eyeing a solid victory to leave no place for stress or speculation. Xabi Alonso is suspended for the Munich side … Lahm, Martinez and Alcantara are also unavailable.
Bayern lineup: Neuer – Rafinha, Boateng, Benatia, Alaba – Bernat, Schweinsteiger, Gotze, Ribery, Robben – Muller
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Shakhtar gained qualification mainly because of an easy group, but credit to them for doing the job vs. Athletic Bilbao and BATE Borisov. But reality is that Shakhtar has seen better days … many top players left this summer, there is also the political situation in Donetsk. The draw in the first leg was probably Shakhtar’s best match of the season but even so they did not deserve it. Visitors are coming after a morale breaking draw in the last minute vs. Harkov, which almost means losing the title, leaving Shakhtar to fight for the second place with Dnipro. Rakitskiy, Teixeira, Bernard, Krivtsov and Ordets are questionable … the first two will probably be in the lineup considering the importance of the match.
Shakhtar lineup: Pyatov – Srna, Kucher, Rakitskiy, Shevchuk – Fred, Fernando, Costa, Teixeira – Taison, Adriano
I see little to no chance for Shakhtar to even challenge Bayern today in Germany. They did well to get that 0-0 draw but were dominated even when they had an extra men and there were some questionable referee decisions. Bayern could not capitalize on the possession but at home it will be a different scenario for sure. With the hosts scoring at will at the moment and Shakhtar being an offensive side that does not usually park the bus … Bayern is set to win and cover a sensible handicap in the process. They need the win so motivation is not an issue … my tip will be Bayern to win and cover the 2 goal asian handicap, 9 units stake on the bet. Correct score prediction: Bayern Munchen – Shakhtar Donetsk 4-0.
Pick: Bayern Munich (-2 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.96 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 8.64
Event date: 11 March