Benfica – Porto

Benfica Porto betting previewBenfica and Porto will square off in one of the biggest Derby in Portugal tonight in the Taca de Portugal semifinals, and this is surely going to be a great encounter.

Perfect season for Benfica so far. The hosts are first in the league and in the semifinals of the Europa League, Portugese Cup and Portugese League cup – you can hardly ask for better results. The hosts are also in brilliant form, winning 5 consecutive games without conceding a single goal and posting a record of 16 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 18 games. However, their only loss came at the hand of today`s opponents, Porto, a 1-0 road defeat in the league on 26 March, so Benfica will surely look to avenge that today.

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Selling players has finally caught up with Porto as the former Portugal champions are having their worst season in a long time. The visitors are 3rd in the league with no perspective to move up any higher and they were recently dismantled 4-1 by Sevilla, losing the Europa League quarterfinal tie after winning 1-0 at home. Nevertheless, domestic cups have been a blessing for Porto and they are set to meet Benfica both in the League Cup and the Portugese Cup semifinals. Porto is on the back of a 3-1 win at Braga, improving on their poor away record this season.

Benfica is the better and more consistent team, there`s no doubt about that, and they are looking to avenge the 1-0 loss to Porto three weeks ago. Derbies are always a little more unpredictable but I feel the home side has what it takes to win this, especially in Lisbon. While Porto only won 6 out of 14 road matches in Portugal this season, Benfica has a 11-2-0 record at home, allowing just 5 goals. Considering the fantastic defensive efforts of Benfica lately, I will take a calculated risk and pick not only Benfica to win, but also keep a clean sheet, as I feel the odds are much valuable than for the simple win and there`s a very solid chance for this bet to end up a winner. But, also considering the odds, I will go with Benfica to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 at Gamebookers instead of Benfica to win to nil – the price is higher and I really can`t see scores like 4-0 or 5-0 here. Prediction: Benfica – FC Porto 2-0.

Pick: Benfica to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0
Odds: 3.00 @ Gamebookers
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 10
Event date: 16 April

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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