Benfica and Porto will square off in one of the biggest Derby in Portugal tonight in the Taca de Portugal semifinals, and this is surely going to be a great encounter.
Perfect season for Benfica so far. The hosts are first in the league and in the semifinals of the Europa League, Portugese Cup and Portugese League cup – you can hardly ask for better results. The hosts are also in brilliant form, winning 5 consecutive games without conceding a single goal and posting a record of 16 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 18 games. However, their only loss came at the hand of today`s opponents, Porto, a 1-0 road defeat in the league on 26 March, so Benfica will surely look to avenge that today.
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Selling players has finally caught up with Porto as the former Portugal champions are having their worst season in a long time. The visitors are 3rd in the league with no perspective to move up any higher and they were recently dismantled 4-1 by Sevilla, losing the Europa League quarterfinal tie after winning 1-0 at home. Nevertheless, domestic cups have been a blessing for Porto and they are set to meet Benfica both in the League Cup and the Portugese Cup semifinals. Porto is on the back of a 3-1 win at Braga, improving on their poor away record this season.
Benfica is the better and more consistent team, there`s no doubt about that, and they are looking to avenge the 1-0 loss to Porto three weeks ago. Derbies are always a little more unpredictable but I feel the home side has what it takes to win this, especially in Lisbon. While Porto only won 6 out of 14 road matches in Portugal this season, Benfica has a 11-2-0 record at home, allowing just 5 goals. Considering the fantastic defensive efforts of Benfica lately, I will take a calculated risk and pick not only Benfica to win, but also keep a clean sheet, as I feel the odds are much valuable than for the simple win and there`s a very solid chance for this bet to end up a winner. But, also considering the odds, I will go with Benfica to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 at Gamebookers instead of Benfica to win to nil – the price is higher and I really can`t see scores like 4-0 or 5-0 here. Prediction: Benfica – FC Porto 2-0.
Pick: Benfica to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0
Odds: 3.00 @ Gamebookers
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 10
Event date: 16 April