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Besiktas (4th place) vs. Kayseri Erciyesspor (17th place) in the 19th round of the Turkish football Superliga. These two teams also met in late August this season and Besiktas cruised to win 4-2 on the road.
Slaven`s Bilic Besiktas was in with a title chance for most part of the season – but a run of very poor form saw them drop in the standings and now 14 points behind (Fener). Besiktas won just once in the last 5 Superliga games (3 rounds ago), but they did play pretty well in their last match, 1-1 at Trabzonspor. Despite dropping to fourth place Besiktas still has everything to play for, with Europa League and Champions League places up for grabs … they are only 4 points away from second placed Galata and also have a game in hand. Needless to say this is a must win match for them versus what clearly is a very accessible opponent.
Besiktas lineup: Zengin – Gulum, Ramon, Kavlak, Uysal – Hutchinson, Tore, Fernandes, Sahan – Almeida, Ozyakup
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Kayseri Erciyesspor is a poor team and the visitors are in really bad shape right now. Erciyesspor has no less than SIX defeats in a row and 5 of them were in Superliga. Last match was a hugely disappointing 1-3 at home against relegation rivals Antalyaspor. The visiting team is second to last in the standings with 12 points in 18 rounds and 4 points away from safety. Erciyesspor has the worst offense in the league and the second worst defense, so these are not good signs for the minnows.
Erciyesspor lineup: Jorgacevic – Curuksu, Ozturk, Mangane, Traore – Can, Akgun, Avci, Oztekin – Alkilic, Vleminckxx
Besiktas has struggled lately but the team did show signs of improvement last round with that 1-1 draw on the road vs. a very strong Trabzon side. Besiktas has a very good team, is strong at home and with the kind of opposition they face today they are set to get a morale boosting win. Erciyesspor is in horrible form and for sure playing away at Besiktas will not give them too much confidence coming into the match. My prediction is Besiktas to win this match. I wouldn`t be too confident betting on Besiktas to cover a 1,5 goal handicap because they are not at their best lately but with an asian handicap cover I am more than willing to invest high stakes. The analysis is simple for this one in my opinion, the class difference is just too big and combined with the important home court advantage and Erciyesspor’s absolutely horrible form, this should be a home win 8 times out of 10, and most of the times by 2 or more goals. Tip: Besiktas -1 asian handicap. Besiktas – Kayseri Erciyesspor 2-0.
Pick: Besiktas (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.78 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.02
Event date: 31 January
