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Blackburn Rovers and Bolton Wanderers have both seen much better times in the last decade, as the two sides are set to fight against relegation from the Championship this season. With Blackburn 22nd and Bolton 23rd, this could prove to be a crucial clash in the long run, albeit it is only the 5th round.
Blackburn gained just two points in the first 4 rounds and even though they were competitive in all matches, a win was never close to happening and even those 2 draws were obtained via late equalizers. The miserable form of Blackburn also made them lose against Shrewsbury in the League Cup, so the hosts are winless in 5 matches overall this season – scoring only 4 times in these 5 games.
While Blackburn is playing poorly, Bolton is doing even worse. The visitors also have 2 points in the first 4 rounds and they also lost in the League Cup (to lowly Burton Albion), but they have scored a single goal in these 5 outings! The offensive stats have been absolutely disastrous for Bolton and if they don`t improve on that, relegation seems like a lock – even if the defensive setup actually looks rather decent.
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Team news & lineups:
Blackburn might miss key striker and arguably their best player, Rhodes, in addition to O`Sullivan and Brown who are definitely out. Bolton won`t be able to count on Pratley and Weather.
Blackburn: Martin – Henley, Hanley, Duffy, Spurr – Marshall, Guthrie, Akpan, Conway – Delfouneso, Koita
Bolton: Amos – Wilson, Prince, Dervite, Moxey – Davies, Danns – Feeney, Clough, Wellington – Madine
Both teams are allowing about 1 goal per game in average, while scoring less than 1 goal per game themselves – with Bolton absolutely dreadful, netting just once in the whole season. Blackburn has 3 consecutive unders, while Bolton has 4 unders in 5 matches in all competitions. Taking the stats into account, the way these two sides play but also the importance of the game, it`s fair to expect a low scoring clash at Ewood Park. Nobody can affors to lose this, so don`t expect to many risks being taken – and even if the two sides would hypothetically decide to go for broke, i`m not sure if they would be able to score too many – they just don`t seem to have the quality.
The last match between the two teams took place in March, also at Ewood Park and it ended 1-0 for Blackburn. I can see something similar today and my selection will be on the under / over line here at very solid odds. My tip is under 2,5 goals to be scored. Prediction: Blackburn Rovers – Bolton Wanderers 1-0.
Pick: under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.86 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.88
Event date: 28 August
