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It can-t get any better than this in the German Bundesliga. The top two sides in the league will re-ignite a long standing rivalry on Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund. The standings prior to the derby see Bayern leaging the league, 4 points ahead of their second placed rivals.
Dortmund is still playing the same top class football like last season. They lost Gotze but Mkhitaryan and Aubemeyang are great replacements. However, Dortmund is in a bad run of form lately: the hosts lost to Arsenal and Wolfsburg in the last 2 games. Still, their home performances in Bundesliga have been perfect with 6 wins from 6 matches. Borussia`s biggest problem facing Bayern is the fact that their back line is decimated by injuries. Hummels, Subotic, Piszczek, Schmelzer and Gundogan are all out, which fill force Jurgen Klopp to improvise at the back. This could be suicide against a team like Bayern.
Dortmund lineup: Weidenfeller – Blaszczykowski, Sokratis, Friedrich, Großkreutz – Bender, Sahin – Aubameyang, Mkhitaryan, Reus – Lewandowski
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Bet with the best odds and highest limits at Pinnacle. |
After struggling a bit in the first few weeks under Guardiola, also losing the Supercup to Dortmund 2-4, Bayern regained its form and is playing at the best possible level right now. They are cruising in Champions League and as I said earlier they are 4 points ahead of Dortmund in the standings. Bayern won 12 of the last 13 games with the only points being dropped on the road against strong Leverkusen. Bayern has some squad problems with Ribery and Schweinsteiger being out. Pizzaro, Shaqiri and Badstuber are also injured. Still, the situation is not so bad as in Dortmund.
Bayern lineup: Neuer – Lahm, Boateng, Dante, Alaba – Martinez – Robben, Müller, Kroos, Götze – Mandzukic
Dortmund scored 32 goals and received 11 in the 12 rounds gone so far. Bayern has a goal difference of 27-7. Last two games between Dortmund and Bayern (both this year) had 9 goals between them (1-2, 4-2).
Clearly we have two offensive teams capable of scoring at any moment. Both teams will try to get a win: Dortmund is already 4 points behind and needs the three points at home, Bayern knows they can almost close the title race by profiting from Dortmund’s injuries. Surely the tempo of the game will be high with a lot of goalscoring chances , but what books a bet on many goals is Dortmund’s improvised back line. Surely Bayern will take advantage of this, while the hosts will find themselves needing to outscore the opponent. A clear over 2.75 goals bet with high stakes – I see no premises for a surprise low-scoring game. Stats, injuries, recent H2H, standings situation, game style and matchup all point to maybe even 5-6 goals to be scored in this one. Borussia Dortmund – Bayern Munchen 2-3.
Pick: over 2,75 goals
Odds: 1.82 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.38
Event date: 23 November
Editor Facts
- Ocean is 2 for 4 in tips involving Dortmund this season
