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Borussia Monchengladbach hosts FC Zurich in a very interesting and complicated Europa League group A. Gladbach has 9 points, Villarreal 8 and Zurich 7. Villarreal plays in Cyprus vs. Apollon (who has 3 points).
Gladbach ended a horrible run in the weekend when they won 3-2 vs. Hertha after 5 matches in which they lost 4 times and got 1 draw … but the problems are far from over as seen even in the Hertha game where Gladbach almost lost the win in the dying seconds and had inferior possession to Hertha … again looking dreadful on defense. Hosts have done well in the Europa League but they need a draw today vs. Zurich to qualify, and a win to be sure of the first place. Dahoud is not available for Gladbach … Kruse, Stranzl and Marx are questionable. The coach said that Gladbach “desperately” want to win this game.
Bet on Gladbach vs. FC Zurich with the best price on ‘over 2,5 goals’ at Bwin.com.
Zurich comes into this game with knowledge that if they don’t win, they are out … but also if they win, they qualify for sure … they are 2 points under Gladbach and 1 point under Villarreal. Zurich did well to win the last two games vs. Villarreal and Apollon and get themselves in with a chance in the last round but they need to play better, because in the last 3 matches they lost twice in the Swiss league and only got a win in the Cup. They play nice football but must improve on defense, they allowed goals in 9 of the last 10 games (excluding a clash vs. an amateur team in the cup). Visitors also have some squad problems … Yapi Yapo, Gavranovic, Djimsiti, Rikan and probably Koch are not available.
Odds on Borussia Monchengladbach are dropping fast but I would not bet on them at such low odds and I am picking the over 2,5 goals in this game. Both teams are super offensive by definition and both conceded a lot lately, having problems in defense. Also Zurich needs a win, so I see an open game played mostly on counters … I think Gladbach will get a close win but Zurich will not make it easy and may even lead at some point. My tip will be over 2,5 goals. Correct score prediction: Borussia Monchengladbach – FC Zurich 3-2.
Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.65 @ Bwin
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 5.85
Event date: 11 December
