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Brazil will play Venezuela in Copa America Group C, last round. This is by far the most interesting group. While in Argentina’s group the #1 and the #4 was known before the competition started, in this group anything is possible all teams being tied after 2 games, with 3 points each. And what’s even more interesting, they all have the same goal difference, +0 (Peru and Brazil have 2-2, Venezuela and Colombia 1-1). Venezuela will defend for their life in this game, and I will tell you why.
Colombia will play Peru in the early game. Let’s see what can happen. If Colombia wins, than Venezuela remain rock bottom and are out at the moment of this match. Venezuela must make a better result than Peru, so if Colombia wins by 2 goals, Venezuela must lose by 1 goal max … I will not explain it further, i am sure it’s pretty clear. So I expect a defensive game from Venezuela. They defended excellent so far, only 1 goal and it was a late goal after being reduced to 10 men vs Peru. So i expect an ultra defensive game from them and i believe it can pay off because Neymar is out for Brazil. In the game vs Peru he scored the 1st and created the 2nd so he is in good form at this tournament.
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Another reason is Brazil’s ultra defensive coach. Brazil can play very well in their own half and Dunga is to praise for that but they are by no means a goal scoring machine. The winner vs Peru came in the dying seconds and it must be said Peru’s defense is pretty much shit and the Peruvians were not set on defending, like the Venezuelans will be. Brazil’s offense is really all about Neymar, so without him, they will have problems.
Also there is that rare possibility that Venezuela scores the first goal and in that case this pick has even more chances to come through.
My prediction for this game is Under 1,5 total team goals by Brazil at good odds on offer by Bet365. Classic flat stake 8 units invested on this bet for me. Good luck.
Pick: Brazil under 1,5 goals
Odds: 1.80 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.4
Event date: 21 June
