Bulgaria – Italy

Bulgarie Italy betting previewItaly takes on a disappointing Bulgaria side in Sofia, with the match counting for the Euro 2016 qualifying group H.

Bulgaria (4th place in the standings, 4 points) seems to get worse and worse recently and the hosts look to be unable to challenge for qualification even in this new scenario where three teams can go trough the group. The hosts are already 5 points behind the third place after losing to Norway and Croatia, barely beating Azerbaijan and drawing at home to Malta (!!).

The Italians have been far from impressive themselves, despite gaining 10 points in 4 matches and sitting tied with Croatia on the first place in the group standings. After opening the qualifying campaign with a good performance for a 2-0 win in Norway, Italy played worse and worse, almost dropping points with Azerbaijan at home (2-1), barely beating Malta 1-0 and drawing at home with Croatia in a game that really showed the current state of Italian football, with the Squadra Azzura dominated and desperately holding on to a draw.

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Team news & lineups
:

Bulgaria will not be able to count on Milanov and Iliev, while Italy will not have Pirlo, Marchisio and Perin in the lineup.

Bulgaria: Stoyanov – Terziev, Minev, Bodurov, Manolev – Slavchev, Gadzhev – Bojinov, Dyakov, Aleksandrov – Popov

Italy: Buffon – Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini – Darmian, Candreva, De Rossi, Verratti, Parolo – Zaza, Immobile

Despite their struggles, the Italians remain a good team and they should be able to win this, especially due to the fact that Bulgaria is horrible. But the hosts do have fight in them and Italy is not looking sharp at all, so I expect Bulgaria to keep Italy at bay with a good defensive game for at least the first half. Looking at the disastrous state of Italy’s offense, 0-0 at half time also looks good, but I`ll cover myself against hazard / bad luck and go with a bet on a simple draw after 45 minutes. All in all, my tip on this encounter is a draw to occur at half time. Prediction: Bulgaria – Italy 0-1 (0-0 half time).

Pick: Half time draw
Odds: 2.11 @ Sbobet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 7.77
Event date: 28 March

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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