Friday night football in Spain as Celta Vigo hosts Almeria in the first match of the 16th La Liga round.
Celta Vigo ended a run of 5 consecutive defeats by beating Las Palmas 3-1 and qualifying in the next stage in the Copa Del Rey … Celta also improved on the offense, which was very bad lately. That being said Celta is still in a world of trouble and must also be tested by a Primera Division side before we can say they are out of the woods … hosting 19th placed Almeria should be a good moment for Celta to get back to winning ways. The hosts miss only Oubina for today’s game.
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First game in charge in the league for the new coach Juan Ignacio Martinez after he guided Almeria to a 2-1 win vs. Betis in the Cup. Almeria in a very difficult situation, tied with Elche for the last place but they are 19th due to better goal difference … Almeria has only 1 point in the last 8 matches in La Liga, a horrible run of form. Almeria did win twice vs. Betis in the Copa Del Rey so they will hope to draw some confidence from there. The defense is a walking disaster, allowing 13 goals in the last 4 games … even Eibar scored 5 goals against Almeria and Betis scored 3 goals. Martinez is out injured for Almeria and Soriano is questionable.
My tip will be over 2,5 goals to be scored. Almeria is just too bad at the moment and I think Celta Vigo will manage to finally get a win in La Liga but I would not put money on it, especially at odds of 1.50. I will instead put money on the over, which seems an excellent bet in my opinion.
Almeria’s defense is absolutely horrible (even under new boss Martinez looked bad in the Cup) … Celta struggled offensively lately but played better attacking football vs. Las Palmas and have a lot of quality in attack (remember the early season) so for sure they will try to finally score some goals today in Primera … that will be the focus for them. Also I`m quite confident Almeria will bang in one goal, they are not bad in attack and will have space to exploit on counters. Pick the under over market for this match and bet on the over. Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo – Almeria 2-1.
Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.83 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.64
Event date: 19 December