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Celta Vigo hosts Atletico Madrid Sunday night in the 23rd round of the Spanish La Liga.
Celta is not doing too bad at the moment, but not good either. Just 1 win and 1 draw in the last 4 games, but both came in the last two rounds … 1-0 vs. Cordoba and 0-0 vs. Real Sociedad. The hosts have been horrible in December and January but are showing some signs of improvement now, especially on the defensive end. Thanks to the very good start to the league, Celta is free from any worries … 10th place, no problems with relegation but also no chance to reach an Europa League placement. Hosts will not have Oubina, Mallo and Radoja in the lineup today.
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Atletico Madrid has no injuries and suspensions and can field the best lineup today, probably very similar to the one that beat Real Madrid 4-0 last round … an amazing result for Atletico, who is looking really good at the moment with 4 consecutive wins in La Liga. However Atletico Madrid is still 4 points behind Real Madrid in the title race so the visitors badly need all three points today vs. Celta Vigo.
In my opinion there is no reason in the analysis to suggest that Celta can take three points today and it’s very likely they will end up with nothing. Hosts are improving a little, but it’s not enough to challenge a top team which is 100% focused and motivated … and also having a full bill of health. I am sure there will be no hangover effect after the win vs. Real for Atletico, Simeone is not the type of coach to allow something like that. Atletico can shut down a Celta Vigo team that is struggling a lot in attack lately … and they can surely get 1 or 2 goals to wrap things up and get the three points. My tip will be Atletico Madrid -0,25 asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo – Atletico Madrid 0-2.
Pick: Atletico Madrid (-0,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.88 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.04
Event date: 15 February
