Celta Vigo will play host to Deportivo La Coruna at Balaidos in a match counting for the 31st round of the Spanish Primera Division.
Celta Vigo is deeply involved in the fight for the European spots. Currently 5th in the standings, Celta needs to fend off the challenge of teams like Sevilla or Bilbao, while also hoping to attack Villareal’s 4th place, which sends to the Champions League. With Villarreal struggling lately, this is a good opportunity for Celta to put pressure. The hosts are in good form lately, winning two games in a row and losing just once in the last 6 matches. The defeat however was a horrible 1-7 at the hands of Real Madrid three rounds ago.
Deportivo La Coruna (10th place) had a brilliant first part of the season, but since 2016 started they are a different team. Depor claimed only its first win of the year in the last round, a 2-1 victory against Levante, not exactly very impressive. The visitors are also yet to keep a single clean sheet in 2016, in all competitions (15 matches).
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Team news & lineups:
Fontas, Hernandez and Diaz are out for Celta Vigo. Iago Aspas is a small doubt, but he should be in the starting lineup. Deportivo can’t count on Fabricio and Pablo, while Cani and Sidnei will be assessed before game time.
Celta Vigo: Alvarez – Mallo, Cabral, Gomez, Jonny – Wass, Radoja – Nolito, Orellana, Aspas – Guidetti
Deportivo La Coruna: Lux – Juanfran, Arribas, Sidnei, Navarro – Mosquera, Borges – Fajr, Alberto, Cani – Perez
Looking at the stats for the season, we can see that both teams prefer attacking football. In Celta’s matches an average of 3,13 goals is scored per contest, while in Deportivo’s matches an average of 2,75 goals is scored per game – and the average is kept lower by Depor’s good first part of the campaign.
Celta allowed 7 goals from Real Madrid three rounds ago, but it was the only time in the last 5 matches when they failed to keep a clean sheet. Defense has been surprisingly good for the hosts lately, but it has to be said they have not met high scoring teams. Deportivo is much more offensive minded than Celta’s recent opponents.
The visitors are horrible at the back, allowing tons of goals, but they can also create a lot of chances. Recently, Deportivo scored 3 goals against Malaga and netted in Bilbao as well. They have no pressure, are confident after finally winning a match last round, so I expect the entertaining brand of football to continue. Depor should be able to score here, but with their defensive record it`s very likely that they will concede as well, probably more than once.
I can see Celta reverting to its high scoring stats against a free flowing opponent like Deportivo, who is playing without the pressure of results. Expect an entertaining display with both teams to score and over 2,5 goals. My tip will be both teams to score, great odds on this prediction at Ohmbet. Prediction: Celta Vigo – Deportivo La Coruna 2-2.
Pick: Both to score
Odds: 1.79 @ Ohmbet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.32
Event date: 2 April