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Monday night football in the Spanish La Liga. Celta Vigo vs. Real Valladolid, 28 April, 35th round in the league.
A win for Celta Vigo would mean that the hosts will have escaped relegation. Currently on the 13th place Celta is relatively safe anyway, but of course will try to book another La Liga season now, when they have a big chance at home vs. Valladolid. Celta is in very good form, winning 4-2 last round over Almeria after a spirited draw against Real Sociedad two rounds ago. Team news for Celta Vigo are good. No definite absentees, only 3 doubtful players: Fernandez, Lopez and Mallo.
Celta Vigo lineup: Yoel – Mallo, Cabral, Fontas, Jonny – Rafinha, Lopez, Krohn-Dehli – Nolito, Charles, Orellana
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Valladolid is on the 19th place, 3 points away from safety, but they have 2 less games played than all their relegation rivals, so they might stay in the division. They need some improvement in form though … in the last games they only beat Almeria at home despite an accessible schedule. Valladolid has struggled in front of goal all season but lately they have been even worse – did not score in the last two games (two 0-0 results) and last time they scored more than 1 goal in a game was almost two months ago. Team news for Valladolid say that Manucho, Perez and Heinz are questionable.
Valladolid lineup: Jaime – Rukavina, Ruedo, Mitrovic, Pena – Perez, Rubio – Larsson, Gonzalez, Bergdich – Guerra
This is a massive game for Valladolid, more important for them than for Celta. I think the visitors will fight their hearts out here and will try to use their solid defense to at least escape with a 0-0 draw. Celta is a rather attacking side but they are not that good offensively and should find it hard to break down a desperate side which defends very well in numbers. Celta is on the back of 2 high scoring games and it will be hard for them to keep up that attacking pace for a 3rd straight time. This looks like an under 2,5 bet to me, so that will be my tip. The odds seem very good to me, I was expecting something in the region of 1.70-1.75. Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo – Villareal 1-0.
Pick: under 2,5
Odds: 1.87 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.96
Event date: 28 April
