Celta Vigo – Valencia

Celta Vigo hosts a red hot Valencia team in the 18th round of the Spanish La Liga. Celta is sitting midtable while Valencia is very well on track for a top 4 finish.

Celta was so good in the start of the season, playing nice offensive football and getting wins … but what happens now is a disaster for the hosts … 8 defeats in the last 9 games (!!!) and only beating second division Las Palmas in these 9 games. Also Celta lost 3 in a row, most recent 2-4 at home to Bilbao in the Copa Del Rey a few days ago. Seems like nothing works for Celta, they can not defend, can not score and even home court advantage does not help them. They are in an absolutely horrible moment and playing vs. Valencia is for sure not good news. Celta has Oubinas, Planas and Costas unavailable.

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Valencia enters this game in great form and almost at full strength … only Piatti is unavailable. Visitors have a great team, confidence and money to spend. They have 3 wins on the spin in La Liga and most recently beat Espanyol 2-1 in the Cup … but the best result was the 2-1 vs. Real Madrid last weekend: not only the win, but also the football played … Valencia was really good and deserved the win, or at least not to lose.

Valencia is on a roll and I think they will extend Celta’s disastrous run for at least one more game. Celta is low on confidence and plays poor football so I don’t see how they can recover exactly against a super strong and balanced team like Valencia. Visitors know they have a good chance and will go for it, specially considering they have an almost complete squad at their disposal. My tip will be Valencia to win but I am also covering the bet with a +0 asian handicap in case Celta manages to improve and hold for a draw … even if I do not think that will happen. Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo – Valencia 1-2.

Pick: Valencia (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.95 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.60
Event date: 10 January