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Chapecoense vs. Coritiba in the first round of the Brazilian Serie A, 20 April.
Chapecoense are for the first time in the Serie A after promoting last season due to a second place finish in the second League. It was a very good season for Chapecoense especially on home court where they lost a single game. The best efforts came on the defensive end, 31 goals allowed in 38 games and it is expected that this season Chapecoense will again be looking to stay tight at the back and get enough points at home to avoid relegation. Team news for Chapecoense say that Nenen, Gaucho, Luis and Diones are unavailable.
Chapecoense lineup: Danilo – Alemao, Neuton, Lima, Pico – Wanderson, Abuda, Danilinho, Arao – Roni, Bergson
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Coritiba got an 11th placed finish last year, had problems with relegation but 2 wins in the last 2 matches were enough to see them well clear of the drop zone. It will probably be a mid-table finish for Coritiba again this season – even though it`s a little bit hard to make such long term predictions in the Brazil Serie A. Team news for Coritiba say that Lima and Manuel will not play tonight.
Coritiba lineup: Vanderlei – Ferraz, Claro, Almeida, Carlinhos – Gil, Baraka, Robinho, Dudu – Roni, Cesarati
Chapecoense is a tough team to beat at home but their quality for this level is questionable and surely they will be involved in the relegation battle. Given that this is the first round I expect a prudent approach from both teams and the draw seems like a really good bet. However, giving the difference in experience between these two teams I will go with the much safer x2 option. Coritiba is the better team and could use their vast Serie A experience to welcome Chapecoense in the league with a narrow away win. My tip is Coritiba x2 double chance. Correct score prediction: Chapecoense – Coritiba 1-1 or 0-1.
Pick: x2
Odds: 1.67 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.36
Event date: 20 April
