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Chelsea come into this Champions League game game after 2 clean sheet wins against tricky opponents. 2-0 vs Tottenham in the final of the League Cup, a match with absolutely no history, 1-0 HT, 2-0 FT … Boring game .. Totally unimpressive. The West Ham game was typical Mourinho, open the score, hold on to the 1-0 until the end.
I think Mourinho’s economical style, only do what you need to win by just 1 goal can backfire in a match like this. I watched Chelsea vs PSG in the first leg (1-1, when I bet on Chelsea DNB) and i was unpleasantly surprised by the lack of ideas in the Chelsea team. Despite Chelsea having a lot of offensive players, the game just did not click. Paris SG, with 3 ultra defensive midfielders, Luiz, converted from CB to DM, and the regulars Matuidi and Verratti was much more creative than Chelsea with Cesc, Hazard, Willian and Diego Costa … I think it’s Mourinho’s fault.
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Nevertheless, Mou is Mou and he might come up with something here but knowing him, he will not risk anything. Chelsea will maybe play an open game in the first half, but if things do not go their way, but they manage to go with 0-0 at the break, i expect a totally slow match in the second and Chelsea to go through with 0-0 after some cautious football.
Where is the value then? Well the value is on PSG to qualify, at odds over 3.00. Not a 8 unit bet, but surely worth 6 units.
Just think about it. If Chelsea falls behind, they will panic, and PSG have the quality to score one more and kill the game. Think of it this way: Can Chelsea escape with a clean sheet? I would say 70 – 80% no. Can Chelsea score 2 goals? I would say 70 – 80% no.
So with the above analysis in mind, my prediction is PSG to qualify with a 6 unit stake on this bet at excellent odds. Good Luck!
Pick: PSG to qualify
Odds: 3.12 @ Sbobet
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 12.72
Event date: 11 March
