CSMS Iasi – Dinamo Buc

CSMS Iasi Dinamo prediction

Hosts CSMS Iasi will welcome Dinamo Bucharest in the last Romania Liga 1 round to be played before the Winter break.

CSMS Iasi is 11th in the standings out of 14 teams, but has caught some good form recently with two consecutive wins, before losing in the Cup 0-2 to CFR Cluj a few days ago.

Dinamo Bucharest is on the 5th place and will be desperate for a win before the Winter break in order to remain in title contention. The visitors won 4 out of their last 5 matches, including 3-1 away at Gaz Metan Medias midweek in the Romanian Cup.

I have talked all season and even before the season, on our social media channels, about how Dinamo is set to be involved in high scoring matches this year due to naming Ioan Andone as a manager. Andone never knew how to set up a defense and his teams were always pathetic at the back, but were able to score goals. His career has seen plenty of results like 6-5 or 5-4. Andone also has a “perfect” squad at Dinamo this season, as the players at the back are dirt poor, but there is good talent up front.

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There`s not much to be said here aside for the cold hard facts (all competitions counted).

  • 18 out of 24 Dinamo matches ended with both teams scoring
  • 17 out of 24 Dinamo matches ended with over 2,5 goals (average odds around evens)
  • Dinamo kept just 3 clean sheets in 24 matches
  • Dinamo won 3-1 at home against Iasi in the previous meeting this season

While it`s true that CSMS Iasi is a rather defensive minded team, that did not make much difference for Dinamo this season. They were involved in matches with 3 or more goals and allowed goals against the worst teams in the league, against the most defensive minded teams in the league and even against their second team (Dinamo II, 3rd league) in an epic Cup tie. Iasi’s playing style also did not stop Dinamo from winning 3-1 earlier this season.

I think it`s fair to say, looking at the above stats, that there is no way odds on goals should be so high here. A price of almost 2.40 for over 2,5 goals is borderline crazy.

My tip is over 2,5 goals. Win or lose, this is a bet that is worth taking in every Dinamo match this season, even more so when odds are so high. Both to score might be the safer option as it`s hard to see any team winning 3-0, but you never know, so I`m going with the higher value. Prediction: CSMS Iasi – Dinamo Bucharest 1-2.

Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2.38 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 9.66
Event date: 18 December

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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