The last match of the Romanian Liga 1 9th round will see Dinamo Bucharest hosting ACS Poli Timisoara at “Dinamo” Stadium.
The hosts have been in good form before the recent International break, winning 2 games on the trot and climbing back to the top section of the league after suffering a mini crisis in mid August. Although results didn`t always go their way, Dinamo looked pretty good so far this season and remains a definite title contender in the Romanian Liga 1. Last time out they defeated mid-table team Voluntari 3-1 on the road.
ACS Poli Timisoara is one of the weakest teams in Romania in terms of squad quality, but good discipline and good coaching allowed them to reach the 7th place after 8 rounds, just 2 points behind Dinamo. ACS Poli is in good form, winning their last two matches (just like Dinamo) and a win today could see them change their objective from avoiding relegation to maybe push for a Top 8 finish. In the last round ACS Poli claimed a surprising 4-3 home win against league leaders CFR Cluj, leading 4-0 until the 75th minute, but being very close to screw up that lead.
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Dinamo will miss first choice right back Romera, as well as second choice right back Corbu (long term absentee). New signing Nica, also a right back, is unavailable, so Dinamo will improvise with young Dudea in that position, but they have no other absences. ACS Poli will miss Harut.
Dinamo Bucharest: Penedo – Dudea, Nedelcearu, Katsikas, Filip – Anton, Mahlangu – Hanca, Nascimento, Salomao – Nemec
ACS Poli Timisoara: Curileac – Cretu, Melinte, Canu, Seroni – Soljic, Vasvari – Munteanu, Barnoi, Tiganasu – Draghici
Dinamo is the better team here, but as we all know that doesn`t always translate into wins. However, I feel that home court advantage will be a decisive factor in settling the result of this match.
Dinamo Bucharest has always been a strong home team, particularly when they play at their old ground, “Dinamo Stadium” – which will be the case today. Dinamo won both matches here this season with a 4-1 aggregate scoreline.
On the same note, ACS Poli is a team that doesn`t do so well on the road, particularly against stronger opponents. The visitors are classic minnows, fighting it out with fellow relegation battlers and being hard to beat at home, but when it comes to facing superior opposition away from home, they are usually useless. This season has been no different, with ACS Poli beating 2 relegation rivals on the road, and losing 2 times against good teams. You have to go back to December 2016 for the last time ACS Poli claimed a point on the road against a Top 6 opponent in Liga 1.
ACS Poli also lost the last 6 meetings against Dinamo, which comes to confirm Timisoara’s usual impotence against top teams – despite their win at home against CFR last round.
Dinamo has been in good form prior to the International break and needs the points to get back into title contention, so I don`t think they will screw it up here against an opponent who always loses against good teams away from home.
My tip is Dinamo Bucharest to cover the -1 asian handicap, and 8 units seems like a fair stake on this bet as per my analysis. Prediction: Dinamo Bucharest – ACS Poli Timisoara 2-0.
Pick: Dinamo Buc (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.90 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.20
Event date: 11 September