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With three rounds left to go in the Romanian Liga 1 playoffs, Dinamo and FCSB will square off in a derby clash with huge implications in the title race. FCSB would climb up to the first place with a win or a draw, while Dinamo will close in just 2 points behind the first place if they get the victory.
The hosts are on a good run lately, winning 3 games in a row before being equalized in injury time last round at Craiova (2-2). The recent success came since the Red Dogs reverted to the offensive style of play they were showing earlier in the season. When new manager Cosmin Contra took over a couple of months ago, the team started playing very defensive oriented football – but now they seem to be back to their usual routine, scoring and conceding goals in every match.
FC FCSB (former Steaua Bucharest, now stripped of that identity) is also in good shape, with the visitors playing their best football of the season over the last month or so. Even so, FCSB is still far from impressive and has failed to win any of the last two games, being held to draws by CSM Craiova and by the current league leaders Viitorul.
Bet on Dinamo vs. FC FCSB and claim your 100% (100 Eur) freebet at Ohmbet now!Team news: There aren`t any fresh injuries or suspensions for either team. Dinamo will continue to be without Branescu and possibly Bumba (neither being important players), while FCSB has a full squad available.
Dinamo has been playing good and positive football lately, their last 5 results being 1-2, 2-0, 2-1, 2-1 and 2-2. The Red Dogs absolutely need a win in this match so the trend of playing attacking football should continue for at least one more game.
On the other hand, FCSB is a rather defensive minded team (although they did score the most goals in these playoffs) and they would be happy with a draw in this match. You would expect a pragmatic approach from them, but that hasn`t been the case in the last matches against Dinamo.
The H2H between these two sides has seen a lot of goals recently. The last 8 games between the two teams all finished with both teams scoring and there were more than 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 6 direct meetings. Just a few weeks ago FCSB defeated Dinamo 2-1 in an open game, which could have easily ended at least 2-2.
Looking at the H2H results, at how open those games were and at the fact that Dinamo needs to win this match, I think it`s fair to expect another overish encounter, probably with both teams scoring.
I think the value is definitely there for a bet on goals, the bookies seemingly ignoring the H2H completely. I am not a tipster who puts much emphasis on previous results, but in this case the H2H is relevant. It`s not just that goals were scored between the two teams, it`s the fact that most matches have been very open. Plus, all games were very recent, as Dinamo and FCSB play eachother 5-6 times each year. Not lastly, 8 meetings is a pretty big sample size to ignore.
I will mix value with safety and go with over 2 goals to be scored, which I think has excellent odds considering the safety net it offers and is the best bet here. My tip is over 2 goals. Prediction: Dinamo Bucharest – FCSB 2-2.
Pick: over 2 goals
Odds: 1.67 @ 18Bet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.36
Event date: 1 May
