Dinamo – Pandurii

Dinamo Bucharest will take on Pandurii Targu Jiu in a crucial encounter counting for Romania’s Liga 1 13th round.

Dinamo is in crisis right now. With 1 win in the last 8 matches and 3 consecutive defeats, the Red Dogs plummeted to the 8th place in the table and are in real danger to miss the playoffs. The defensive efforts of Dinamo have been particularly poor, as the Red Dogs can’t keep a clean sheet to save their lives, against anybody. A win is mandatory today against Pandurii, a team that also fights for a playoff spot.

The visitors are 5th in the table and on the back of a 2-1 win against Botosani, but that was their only victory in the last 4 outings. Pandurii is doing much worse than their standing suggest. They aren’t playing great and have serious financial problems. The players and staff are not paid and they thought about boycotting this match, but in the ended decided to play.

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Team news & lineups:

Neither team has any injuries and suspensions, so both can field their best lineups.

Dinamo: Branescu – Corbu, Nedelcearu, Maric, Filip – Nistor, Busuladzic, Palic – Rotariu, Nemec, Lazar

Pandurii: Lazar – Pleasca, Pitian, Vasiljevic, Grecu – Obodo, Sanmartean – Antal, Voiculet, Herea – Tucudean

As usual, I will bet on goals in a Dinamo Bucharest match.

I said it before the season started and multiple times during the season: Dinamo’s manager, Ioan Andone, is horrible when it comes to organizing a defense. His teams are always involved in high scoring matches. He also has very low quality defenders this season, so Dinamo is looking pathetic at the back and will not get better. So far the results have backed up my statements.

From 13 matches played this season in all competitions, Dinamo kept a single clean sheet! 11 out of 13 matches saw both teams scoring! 8 out of 13 matches saw over 2,5 goals being scored – with average odds for the over being over 2.00.

Even the worst teams in the League managed to score once or twice against Dinamo, home and away. Even a team that scored 6 goals in 13 matches (Chiajna) scored at Dinamo and could have actually banged in 2 or 3 goals.

Ahead of this match it’s not only the stats that suggest an overish game, the circumstances also do.

First of all, Pandurii is also an offensive minded team, even if they only have a 14-10 goal difference in 12 matches this season. They have a lot of old but talented players up front, exactly the type of players which can put the most pressure on the pathetic Dinamo defense – a defensive setup which can’t defend against technical players who can find trough passes or dribble the ball.

Pandurii is also in a precarious financial situation, the players are not paid and there was talk of them forfeiting this game. The visitors are not under big pressure to deliver results, they feel they can play freely and this should result in a positive, open approach from them – no point in defending a draw since they can’t be held accountable by a board which hasn’t paid them.

As for the hosts, Ioan Andone is under huge pressure to win this game. Dinamo’s recent results have been abysmal and if the team does not get the three points here, a playoff spot will be in massive danger. Missing the playoffs would be a shocking disaster. Andone will likely get sacked if he does not get the 3 points here, so Dinamo has no other option than to win. A draw would definitely not be satisfactory. As such, Dinamo will need to take risks.

History is also an indicative towards a high scoring game. Since 2014 the two teams met 11 times and 8 of those matches saw over 2,5 goals. 9 of them saw both teams to score.

All in over, the over is always a good bet on Dinamo’s matches and a particular good bet in this clash. My tip is over 2,5 goals to be scored. Prediction: Dinamo Bucharest – Pandurii Targu Jiu 2-1.

Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2.12 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.96
Event date: 22 October