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One of the best games today in the UEFA Champions League second third round will take place in Tbilisi, Georgia between local team Dinamo and romanians Steaua Bucharest. Steaua already started its league campaign, while Dinamo only played in the UCL qualifiers so far this season.
The visitors are the better team here, winning the league comfortably last season and also achieving some small success in Europa League, reaching the last 16, eliminating Ajax at penalties and beating Chelsea at home. They have a good, balanced squad and a great young coach in Laurentiu Reghecampf, he rejuvenated this team last season. But Dinamo are no pushovers, as they invested a lot in the last year, they have a good squad and they will put up a fight.
Steaua lost their best goalscorer Rusescu (sold to Sevilla) and brought in a rather weak replacement, Piovaccari (fringe player at Sampdoria). Despite this, the romanian champions are looking good this season, beating a decent Petrolul team 3-0 in the supercup and knocking out Vardar Skpoje in the second qualifying round of Champions League (3-0, 2-1). Even without Rusescu, they looked good in offense, they have some well-established passing lines and very fast players. Steaua has full squad available for this one.
Dinamo, as I said, made some big investments recently and they will field players like Ustaritz (former Bilbao defender) or Xisco (former Valencia midfielder) today. Also, they have arguably the best georgian striker of the moment in their squad, Dvali, he scored 20 times in 27 matches last season. Tbilisi is known for its fast paced, offensive football, scoring 88 goals in 32 games in the league last season. In the second qualifying round of UCL they knocked out EB Streymur with an aggregate score of 9-2. Dinamo does not have big injury worries at the moment.
I see this as a high scoring game, as both teams are able in attack. Also, Tbilisi has a very poor defense, they conceded two goals from a weak Streymur team and could have conceded more. Steaua has a brilliant three-man line behind the lone striker and with their quality and pace they will surely create chances. On the other hand, Tbilisi should cash-in on their good offensive play by scoring at least one goal. Dinamo`s coach, Dusan Uhrin (who trained in Romania in the past), stated that his team enters the game with the mentality of scoring at least one more goal than Steaua, he didn`t look to worried about conceding a goal.
There will probably be a decent rhythm in this one, I see Steaua as a small favorite, just like the bookies suggest. They are the better team, but don`t count Dinamo out, especially at home. Overall, the over looks much better than any other bet here, as both teams will look to win this and are able to score. Also, the pitch is in perfect condition. We should see at least three goals here, and the odds look great.
Pick: over 2,5
Odds: 2.24 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 8.68
Event date: 30 July
