Round 4 of the Swedish Allsvenskan brings us a game between Djurgarden and Kalmar.
Djurgarden is a team that lost some serious firepower compared to last year. They are a Stockholm based team, with ambitions to fight for European spots but usually end up finishing in mid-table. They used to be great, but not anymore.
They lost their best player from last year, Fejzullahu to a team from China, an important handicap for them in perspective of this season. No big additions to the squad.
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Kalmar changed their coach, they bought highly regarded Swรคrdh from Atvidabergs. He is a very good coach. Kalmar play a brand of attractive and open football, which helps when you play a similar team but of lower quality, like i see Djurgarden here. Kalmar also targets european spots but their ambitions are more realistic.
I expect a game in which Djurgarden will try to impose the rhythm, but will fall short in defense. Kalmar also has 2 nice Brazilians that add a lot of spice to an otherwise mediocre Swedish league. Djurgarden lost that extra spice with the selling of Fejzullahu.
A +0,5 handicap on Kalmar is my prediction. There are a lot of bets coming in on Kalmar and for a good reason. Djurgarden is now at about almost 1.95 from 1.80 or so initially and will probably jump over 2.00. Eight unit stake for me on this pick, as usual.
Pick: Kalmar +0,5
Odds: 1.91 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.28
Event date: 17 April