Dortmund – Stuttgart

Friday game in Bundesliga, always a real treat. Dortmund and Stuttgart will square off tonight in a mouthwatering encounter.

Dortmund trails Bayern by just 1 point with a stat line of 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and Borussia looked great so far. At home they won all 5 games. Still, at a closer look, Dortmund has their fair share of troubles and they have some weaknesses. They won a lot of matches after a big fight. They lost to Gladbach, made a draw with Nurnberg and won a lot of matches against weaker opponents by a slim 1 goal margin (Braunschweig, Bremen, Frankfurt, Hannover). So in a total of 6 out of 10 games, Dortmund didn`t cover the spread, and they had a pretty easy schedule so far. They did win some games by a big margin, but they often seem to be very happy with protecting a 1 goal advantage instead of pushing forward and going for the kill. Stuttgart will be tough opposition for them in this game. Dortmund will miss Gundogan, Piszczek and Kehl.

Dortmund lineup: Weidenfeller; Grosskreutz, Hummels, Subotic, Schmelzer; Bender, Sahin; Reus, Mkhitaryan, Aubameyang; Lewandowski

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Stuttgart is playing better and better after replacing Labaddia with the youth team coach, Tomas Schneider. The visitors tightened up their defense and can challenge any team in Bundesliga, like they showed a number of times in the last few years. Stuttgart is undefeated in the last 7 Bundesliga games and they NEVER lost by more than 1 goal this season (in all competitions). Very telling stats. They are still unable to finish off games and register a lot of draws, but they are very hard to beat. Stuttgart will miss Didavi, Cacau and Rudiger.

Stuttgart lineup: Ulreich; Schwaab, Haggui, Niedermeier, Boka; Kvist, Traore, Gentner, Maxim; Harnik; Ibisevic

The last 5 games between Dortmund and Stuttgart produced 4 draws and a hard fought 2-1 win for Borussia.

Dortmund is a great team no doubt, but they are not so dominant right now and Stuttgart has the quality, game and experience to challenge them even on the road. Stuttgart is one of the best teams in Bundesliga in attacking set pieces and counterattacks, so a perfect opportunity for them to score tonight, which would make a big victory for Dortmund even less likely. With the hosts often winning small and Stuttgart never losing big, I think it will be an entertaining, close game, with Dortmund again emerging as close winners. Stuttgart can finish this well within the 1,75 asian handicap. My pick? Dortmund – Stuttgart 2-1.

Pick: Stuttgart (+1,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.08 @ Sbobet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 7.56
Event date: 1 November

Editor Facts

• Ocean is 2 for 4 in picks involving Stuttgart this season