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Dynamo Kiev has to overcome a 2-1 first leg disadvantage when they host French side Guingamp tonight in the Europa League.
It was a bit surprising that Dynamo lost the first leg, they have a great season dominating the Ukrainean league and also easily qualifying to this stage in the Europa League. But truth to be told it was an unlucky defeat, because Dynamo led 1-0 until the 72nd minute and played with 10 men for almost an hour. If you look at the statistics Guingamp was much better, but you can imagine it was normal under the circumstances and if you watched the match you can say the result was a bit unfair overall. Dynamo is in the mid season break at the moment. Hosts will miss Yarmolenko with suspension, big blow, as well as Belhanda.
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Guingamp lost 2-0 to Montpellier at home in the weekend … but it was the first loss after a series of 7 consecutive positive results for Guingamp (5 wins, 1 extra time win, 1 draw). Obviously Guingamp had this match with Dynamo in the back of their heads when facing Montpellier and the team is in very good form. Guingamp made a habit recently of challenging top teams … this season they beat PSG and Monaco, but they do not do as well on the road and can be inconsistent.
The French team are no pushovers, but after watching the first leg and knowing the strength of Dynamo, you must go with Dynamo to win. The superior European experience will help them as well and as an additional safety precaution, we know that every defeat by 1 goal aside from 0-1 would be satisfactory for Guingamp. With this in mind my tip will be Dynamo Kiev to win, I think they will pull it off even without Yarmolenko. For better value you can pick Dynamo Kiev to qualify, but I am not taking that risk on this bet … I don`t think the odds for qualification are bit enough to warrant the much higher risk statistically speaking. Correct score prediction: Dynamo Kiev – Guingamp 1-0.
Pick: Dynamo Kiev
Odds: 1.73 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.84
Event date: 26 February
