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Dynamo Moscow hosts Napoli in the cold Russian weather in the Europa League, after losing the first leg 3-1 in Italy.
Dynamo was the most impressive team this season in the competition, winning all games in the group stage and than beating Anderlecht 3-1 aggregate. Before the first leg vs. Napoli they were on an 11 match unbeaten run in all competitions with 8 wins and 3 draws … however Napoli proved too strong and won 3-1 and Dynamo went on to lose the next game in Russia as well, the derby vs. Spartak, 0-1. Still, the first leg was not so bad for Dynamo in terms of performance despite the result … they led 1-0, conceded a penalty in the 30th minute and played with 10 men for the entire second half after Zobnin was sent off … he will not be available today.
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It can be said that Napoli got a big break by having an extra man for 45 minutes in the first leg, because otherwise the result could have been different … Napoli is not in good form at all this month (after playing very well in January and February) and the win against Dynamo Moscow was the only victory they got in the last 5 matches. The visitors lost 2-0 in Verona vs. Hellas over the weekend. Also, on the road, Napoli is not doing too well at the moment: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5 matches.
Dynamo Moscow seems to have all arguments to get at least a draw today. Napoli of course has better quality, but they do not need to get a win or not even a draw … they are not in good form, they play poorly away from home and the cold weather in Russia will be a big challenge. Dynamo has a great chance to get a famous win today and I don`t think they can do worse than a draw … so my tip will be Dynamo +0 asian handicap (draw no bet).
Correct score prediction: Dynamo Moscow – Napoli 2-1. For sure the visitors would not be too upset with a result like this.
Pick: Dynamo Moscow (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.16 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 9.28
Event date: 19 March
