Eibar – Atl Madrid

Eibar and Atletico Madrid will square off in the 17th round of the Spanish La Liga.

Eibar started 2017 in solid fashion, winning 3-0 on the road against Osasuna in the Copa Del Rey. It was the 2nd win overall for Eibar and the 4th consecutive match without a defeat. The hosts are having a great season, sitting on the 8th place in the Primera Division, just 5 points below Atletico Madrid. Eibar lost a single game at home all season in all competitions, a fluke 2-3 defeat to last placed Osasuna back in

Atletico’s domestic season has been a disappointment so far. Atleti is sitting on the 6th place, 9 points behind Real Madrid, who also has a game in hand. Real hosts Granada earlier in the day so they will probably be 12 points ahead of Atletico before this match. With the title pretty much gone, Simeone’s side has to focus on claiming a Champions League position and that is within their grasp, as 4th placed Villarreal is just 1 point in front. Atleti won 3 matches in a row in all competitions, including 2-0 againt Las Palmas in Copa Del Rey a few days ago.

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Team news & lineups:

Ramis and Kike are out for Eibar, while Junca is a doubt. Atletico will miss Fernandez, Oblak and Partey, while Carrasco and Tiago are questionable.

Eibar: Riesgo – Capa, Lejeune, Galvez, Luna – Leon, Rico, Garcia, Inui – Pena, Enrich

Atletico Madrid: Moya – Vrsaljko, Savic, Godin, Luis – Juanfran, Gabi, Niguez, Koke – Griezmann, Gameiro

Atletico’s form seems to have taken a turn for the better recently, but the visitors still have some way to go until they reach the consistency and strength they showcased in previous seasons. Right now, they can not be trusted away from home at odds as low as 1.70 against a solid opponent.

Eibar is a very organized, rugged team, defends well and is extremely hard to beat at home. Atletico is not the best team when it comes to breaking down crowded defenses, so they will most likely struggle in this match. I believe Eibar will hold out for a draw and if Atletico pulls off the win, it will probably be a hard fought victory by no more than 1 goal.

It has to be said that Atletico won all 4 meetings against Eibar since Eibar gained promotion and the last 2 wins came by more than 1 goal. This seems to be the main reason for which odds on Atleti are so low. Personally, I don`t put much emphasys on H2H history in football, as the two teams are different this season compared to past years.

All in all, I trust the home side here. They frustrated Sevilla and Villarreal this season at home and they should have enough to do it to Atletico as well. My tip is Eibar to cover the +1 asian handicap. Prediction: Eibar – Atletico Madrid 1-1.

Pick: Eibar (+1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.70 @ 1xBet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.60
Event date: 7 January