Elche – Celta Vigo

Elche hosts in-form Celta Vigo in the first match of round six in the Spanish La Liga.

The hosts lost 3 out of 5 matches in La Liga so far … including the last two 0-2 vs. Eibar and 1-5 at Real Madrid. Hosts are looking like real contenders for relegation, have a squad without much quality and have big problems at the back conceding almost 3 goals per game in the first 5 rounds. It is true they met Real and Barcelona but also allowed a lot of goals from teams like Eibar or Rayo. For today Elche does not have notable injuries or suspension problems.

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Celta Vigo is playing great offensive football and are in great form … 6th place in La Liga, 10-7 goal difference but most impressive did not lose a single game … 2 wins and 3 draws. Last round was a 2-1 win vs. Deportivo after previously Celta made a 2-2 draw at Atletico Madrid. Visitors did not win on the road yet but will feel they have a decent chance vs. Elche. Oubina will not play today for Celta Vigo.

A tip and bet on Celta to win is so so tempting … specially a -0,25 handicap … but I think the odds on the visitors are too low, Celta’s form will not last forever and Elche is not quite the worst team in the league. It will be tough game for visitors, maybe Celta can win it but for sure there are good chances to be a high scoring game despite incredible odds on the over. Celta plays some of the most offensive football in Spain … while Elche has the worst defense in La Liga. Also Elche can score themselves, they have an average of 1 goal scored per game even if they met teams like Barcelona and Real Madrid. Over 2,5 has same odds as Celta straight win and much better than 0,25 handicap, so I will pick over 2,5 goals bet. Elche has 4 overs in 5 games (other one was 1-1), Celta has also 4 overs in 5 games (other one was 1-1 too) so odds on goals are crazy today and I am happy to pick this prediction with high stakes. Correct score prediction: Elche – Celta Vigo 2-2.

Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 2.33 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 10.64
Event date: 26 September