African Cup of Nations hosts Equatorial Guinea and Burkina Faso meet in what could be a decisive game regarding progression from the group. Hosts have 1 point, Burkina Faso zero points.
Equatorial Guinea was initially disqualified from qualifications after fielding an ineligible player, but they were awarded a place in the tournament after they were named as hosts instead of Morocco. Expectations were not too high but the hosts played a good game to get a 1-1 draw with Congo in the first round … a little lucky, but they will take it! Equatorial Guinea does not have too much individual quality but most of their players are playing in Europe at different levels … the best player is Middlesbroug’s star Emilio Nsue. For today there are no injury concerns for Equatorial Guinea.
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Burkina Faso ended up losing 2-0 in the first match vs. Gabon and overall the performance was not very good … Gabon played better football and deserved the win. For sure the visitors are now left with only one option if they want to qualify … they need to beat Equatorial Guinea. They have the quality to do it, but they need a better performance than in the first round. Burkina Faso has a full squad available for this game. They will probably field the same lineup like they did vs. Gabon.
Burkina Faso is one of the most defensive teams in Africa at the moment and confirmed it again vs. Gabon. They will be forced to keep possession and play possession football today vs. an opponent that will defend with their lives to get a draw. With the stakes being very high, few risks will be taken and I expect a low scoring game … Equatorial Guinea has a good chance for an upset but I am a little scared of Burkina Faso’s quality so my tip will be Both teams to score – NO.
It is really a stretch to expect both teams to score in this type of game and the odds for this type of bet are much better than for under 2,5 goals. I’m betting this with high stakes. Correct score prediction: Equatorial Guinea – Burkina Faso 0-0.
Pick: Both teams to score – No
Odds: 1.72 @ Betsson
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 6.48
Event date: 21 January