Fenerbahce – Braga

Fenerbahce will host Sporting Braga as a 1.75 odds favorite in the Europa League Last 16 first leg, but the in form visitors will certainly fancy their chances at an upset.

Fenerbahce knocked out Lokomotiv Moscow rather comfortably in the last round with a 3-1 aggregate result and is riding a 3 match winning streak. First in the league, Fenerbahce is in a good moment right no, playing some solid football. They have been very strong at home lately, winning the last 11 matches at their own stadium – albeit one of them was in extra time. Fener is on the back of a 3-0 win against Akhisar Belediyespor.

Braga is coming after a superb 3-1 win against Porto, proving yet again that right now they can take almost any team in the world and have an honest shot at a win. The visitors are in excellent form, losing just once in the last 24 matches – and that was a last minute defeat away from home against the very strong Sporting Lisbon. In the previous Europa League round Braga knocked out Sion with a 4-3 aggregate score, suffering a bit of a letdown at home after winning the first leg in Switzerland.

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Team news & lineups:

Markovic, Gonul, Topuz and Diego are unavailable for the hosts. Braga can field its best lineup here, as their only absentee is Ferreira Djavan.

Fenerbahce: Fabiano – Ozbayrakli, Bruno Alves, Kjaer, Kaldirim – Souza, Topal, Tufan – Nani, Van Persie, Potuk

Sporting Braga: Magalhaes – Baiano, Ferreira, Boly, Goiano – Alan, Vukcevic, Carlos, Rafa – Fonte, Hassan

Braga is pumping on all cylinders right now, proving their worth against opponents similar to Fenerbahce, or even stronger. The home side is obviously very solid and in good shape as well, but is still not the most trustworthy team – having a history of being upset at home this European season by the likes of Molde or Celtic.

I don`t see any reason for which Braga can’t claim at least a draw here. The visitors are playing some great football and if a couple of things go their way, they could take an excellent result back to Portugal. It won`t be an easy game for Fenerbahce, so my tip here is Braga to cover the 0,75 asian handicap. Braver punters can surely go for more value and pick Braga not to lose, but I am choosing a bit more safety with this asian handicap, which returns half the stakes if Fener wins by one. Odds are great. Prediction: Fenerbahce – Braga 1-1.

Pick: Braga (+0,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.94 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 6.58
Event date: 10 March