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If Fenerbahce can win at home against the 14th placed Konyaspor, the league leaders will go 10 points clear of Galatasaray and virtually assure the Super Liga title.
Fenerbahce (1st place) managed to outplay their rivals Galatasaray so far and get a 7 point advantage in the table with one game in hand. Maybe Galata has a better squad (arguably), but make no mistake, Fenerbahce has a superb squad also with some of the best turkish players and international stars such as Meireles, Kuyt, Sow, Emenike or Bruno Alves. Fener is in good form winnint 3 of the last 4 league games with scored like 4-0 or 5-1. At home Fener is undefeated with 7 wins and 2 draws. The offensive power of Fenerbahce is the best in Turkey by far: 43 goals scored in 17 matches … but they also concede more than once per game. Hosts have a couple of missing players, most notable Emre and Kadlec, also Potuk, Ucan and Kesimal.
Fenerbahce lineup: Demirel – Gonul, Alves, Korkmaz, Erkin – Topal, Meireles – Kuyt, Cristian, Sow – Emenike
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Konyaspor trying to avoid relegation, team is in good shape so far, on 14th place and with 4 points above the red zone. After 3 games and only 1 point, Konyaspor got back to form last round with an impressive 4-1 win vs. Eskisehirspor. But it was at home, and unfortunately for Konyaspor they are the worst road team in the Super Liga: 0-2-6 record. Konyaspor can score pretty good for a relegation candidate (22 goals) and they defend decent (26 goals) but away from home they concede much more (2 goals per game). New signing Hleb will be a substitute at most today and the visitors also miss Aydilek and Guven.
Konyaspor lineup: Itandje – Unlu, Yavuz, Ay, Teber – Camdali, Borek – Djalma, Aydin, Kilicaslan – Gekas
The class difference should allow Fenerbahce to win this comfortably, they will also be motivated because Galata recorded a draw in the weekend. But Konyaspor is a decent team and the odds for Fenerbahce to cover the spread are very small. I think the more profitable choice is the over 2.5 option, also at low odds, but safer. Fenerbahce can cover the over by themselves if they have a good day but you can`t rule out Konyaspor to score a goal – Fener kept a single clean sheet in the last 6 games and even pathetic Kayseri scored against them in the last round. Konyaspor is pretty good up front and can create something on counters. Earlier in the season Konyaspor defeated Fenerbahce 3-2. I will tip the over 2,5 goals bet in this match. My prediction: 2-1 or 3-1 for Fenerbahce.
Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.53 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.24
Event date: 27 January
