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A place in the Coppa Italia quarterfinals is on the line as Fiorentina takes on Atalanta at Artemio Franchi.
Fiorentina is on the back of two consecutive wins in Serie A over Palermo and Chievo, managing to emerge as victors in each game mainly due to their super quality midfield. The hosts however have struggled big time in Firenze this season, winning just 3 of 9 home games in the league and will need to improve if they are to beat an Atalanta side which is full of confidence.
Atalanta’s 15th place in the Serie A standings is nothing to brag about, but the visitors are on amazing run of 5 matches without a loss (scoring in each one of them) and just won 1-0 against Milan over the weekend – at San Siro! Atalanta performed pretty well on the road this season, losing just 40% of their away matches, which is pretty good for a team fighting relegation. With this kind of form however, Atalanta surely won’t be bothered by relegation much longer.
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Team news: Vicenzo Montella was reluctant to give indications about his lineup tonight, but his statements did suggest some reserves might come in – “We have a big squad, everybody is ready for the challenge”. Atalanta is expected to field the same lineup that started at San Siro, maybe just a few tweaks here and there.
I really can`t see Fiorentina getting an easy win here, despite the fact that the odds on them are going down right now. Atalanta is in marvelous form in terms of not losing matches and proved they can hold their own against the big boys with the win at San Siro. Fiorentina covered the 1 goal handicap in just one of their last 6 matches and that was against lowly Cesena, so I`m confident they will not do it in the Cup against an opponent that is proving very hard to defeat.
My tip is Atalanta +1 asian handicap, which seems a very safe bet and hopefully they will be able to get a draw or a win – which I reckon will happen. Prediction: Fiorentina – Atalanta 1-1.
Pick: Atalanta (+1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.08 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.64
Event date: 21 January
