Fiorentina – Napoli

Fiorentina Napoli betting preview

The biggest game on Monday will see Fiorentina take on Napoli in a high profile Serie A clash, counting for the 27th round.

Fiorentina will be eager to reclaim the 3rd spot in the Serie A, as they lost the last Champions League place after Roma won on Saturday. The hosts are on the back of a 0-3 defeat in London against Tottenham, but it was their first loss in 8 matches and you can’t really blame them for losing against such a strong team.

Napoli was also knocked out from the Europa League by Villarreal, drawing 1-1 at home after a 0-1 defeat in Spain. However, Napoli used some rotation in this tie, as they are focusing on the Serie A, so their performance was actually remarkable against a very solid side. Napoli has not won any of the last 4 matches in all competitions but they had a nightmare schedule with Juventus, AC Milan and the tie against Villarreal. A win today would see Napoli climb up to the first place, though Juventus will have a game in hand to reclaim that spot.

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Team news & lineups:

Fiorentina will miss Zarate and Benalouane. Napoli’s only injury worry is Strinic, who is doubtful and their lineup seems set in stone, as we know Sarri rarely uses rotation.

Fiorentina: Tatarusanu – Roncaglia, Astori, Rodriguez, Alonso – Valero, Vecino – Bernardeschi, Ilicic, Tello – Kalinic

Napoli: Reina – Hysaj, Albiol, Koulibaly, Ghoulam – Allan, Jorginho, Hamsik – Insigne, Higuain, Callejon

Both sides would love a win, but the bottom line is that neither team can afford to lose. A draw would be a decent result for both clubs, seeing them remain well within their objectives, so with this in mind, I doubt anybody will take unnecessary risks.

Looking at the fact that this is also an evenly matched clash, with little separating the two sides, my tip will be the draw – it`s hard to argue that it`s the most probable result (even Fiorentina and Napoli did not play a H2H draw since 2013), so it’s definitely worth a shot at these odds. Prediction: Fiorentina – Napoli 1-1.

Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.38 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 4
Possible profit: 9.52
Event date: 29 February

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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