Fiorentina – Sampdoria

Two of the in form teams in the Serie A will square off in a key clash at Artemio Franchi, with European places up for grabs.

Fiorentina seemed to be bothered a bit by European football in the last few weeks and as a result their performances in Serie A dropped. The hosts demolished Roma in Europe, but won just 5 points in the last 3 Serie A matches and are now behind the places that qualify for Europe – 8 points behind the 3rd place and 1 point behind the 6th place. Nevertheless, Fiorentina is clearly one of the better teams in Italy right now and after a 1 week break they could be back to their usual best.

Sampdoria won 4 matches on the spin and climbed to the 4th place in the standings, with Champions League football next season being a real possibility. Samp is one of the hardest teams to defeat in this Serie A season and they will be confident they can get at least a draw in Firenze – maybe taking advantage from the fact that Fiorentina has another crucial clash coming up in the Coppa Italya on Tuesday with Juventus.

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Team news & lineups:

Rossi, Lupatelli and Ilici are definitely out for the hosts, while Pasqual and Savic are doubtful. Munoz and Cacciatore are out for Sampdoria.

Fiorentina: Neto – Tomovic, G. Rodriguez, Basanta – Joaquin, Aquilani, Badelj, Borja Valero, Alonso – Salah, Gomez

Sampdoria: Viviano – De Silvestri, Silvestre, Romagnoli, Regini – Acquah, Palombo, Soriano – Muriel, Eto’o, Eder

Fiorentina and Sampdoria are two of the most draw – prone teams in Serie A, amassing a number of 22 draws in 56 matches this season. This really looks like an evenly matched clash and a tie result seems like the most likely outcome. The hosts have better quality, but they also have to keep an eye on Tuesday`s clash with Juventus and Sampdoria is in better form. Add the crucial importance of this game (nobody can afford to lose) and you might agree that there’s excellent value to be taken on the “X”.

However, I will take a safety net here and bet on Sampdoria no bet – draw. This tip is similar to draw no bet in the sense that we win with a draw and get our money back if Sampdoria wins. Prediction: Fiorentina – Sampdoria 1-1.

Pick: Sampdoria no bet – draw
Odds: 2.70 @ Bwin
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 11.9
Event date: 4 April