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Georgia hosts Poland in the fourth round of the Euro 2016 qualifying Group D.
Georgia lost the first two games vs. Republic Ireland at home 1-2 and Scotland away 0-1. Recovered with 3-0 win in Gibraltar but of course not too impressive result … Georgia has a nice team and they will probably make a few surprises in this group, but have obvious limits. They also need more time … coach Ketsbaia is trying to rebuild the team with a lot of youngsters and things will not work from the start. Lack of experience was obvious vs Republic of Ireland and Scotland. Actually Ketsbaia was very critical about his team recently, even after the Gibraltar win and said he is thinking of leaving if things don’t change.
Bet on Georgia vs. Poland with the best Euro 2016 qualifying odds at Bet365.
Poland will be remembered for the amazing 2-0 win vs. Germany, but they need more than that if they are to qualify. The big win vs. Germany was not backed up, Poland made a 2-2 draw at home to Scotland in the next game and needed a late rally to do it after being down 2-1. The coach said he warned the team against complacency and the result vs. Scotland must not be repeated. A realistic analysis will say that Poland is a very good team and should qualify … the Germany win was lucky and you can’t take it as a reference point, but truth is Poland is the second best team in this group. Visitors called up the best available squad and will count on star striker Robert Lewandowski from first minute.
I do not think Georgia can get point or points today … they are still too young and inexperienced, atmosphere in the team is not the best and Georgia meets a real solid opponent. The most important thing in my opinion is that Poland is very good in attack, they scored at least 2 goals in each game in this Euro 2016 qualifying group … so normally Georgia will not be able to hold for a 0-0 draw. Also visitors are very motivated after the home draw vs. Scotland, so we have all arguments in the analysis to bet on Poland to win … that will be my tip, with a 8 unit stake on the bet. Correct score prediction: Georgia – Poland 0-2.
Pick: Poland
Odds: 1.91 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.28
Event date: 14 November
