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Borussia Moenchengladbach will try to extend their fantastic home record in this years` Bundesliga. Freiburg is not a scary opponent for Gladbach, but the visitors are in need of points and will give it their all on the court.
The hosts have yet to drop points on home turf this season, winning all 6 Bundesliga home games with a combined goal difference of 20-4. Gladbach is currently on the 4th place and looking at the way they play, it would be no surprise if they manage to hold on to that last Champions League spot. Borussia is in excellent form at the moment, winning their last 4 games, covering the 1 goal handicap in all of them. With one of the best offensive setups in the league, Gladbach is very pleasant to watch, but at the same time the team is very effective. The hosts are such a well-oiled machine right now that they can afford to keep record-signging Luuk De Jong (12 million €, ex Twente) on the bench, mostly giving him only about 5-10 minutes per game.
Freiburg had a brilliant campaign last year (5th place), qualifying to the Europa League, but they lost their best players in the summer and the results have deteriorated a lot. The visitors are on 16 place right now with just 11 points to show for. However, Freiburg`s form has increased a little bit lately, with 2 wins in the last 2 games. Freiburg have performed better on the road than they did at home so far. The visiting side just won 2-1 against Slovan Liberec in the Europa League on Thursday, an important and morale-boosting win for sure, bot on the other hand also an exauhsting one. Freiburg does not have the required strength and depth to compete in both the Bundesliga and the Europa League, and the results clearly proved that so far. Freiburg did not win in Bundesliga after any of the previous 4 European matches.
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Team news & lineups
Only Dominguez and Younes are out for Moenchengladbach. On the other hand, Freiburg has some serious selection worries for this game. The visitors will miss Mujdza, Schmid, Schuster, Terrazzino and Hedenstad.
Gladbach: ter Stegen – Korb, Jantschke, Stranzl, Wendt – Kramer, Xhaka – Herrmann, Arango – Raffael – Kruse
Freiburg: Baumann – Sorg, Krmas, Diagne, Lorenzoni – Ginter – Klaus, Fernandes, Mehmedi, Coquelin – Freis
Freiburg has improved lately, but a slight increase in level will not do the job against this devastating Gladbach side. The hosts look unstoppable on their own stadium, even Dortmund was powerless to resist the quick passing game of Moenchengladbach. The home side knows these kind of matches have to be won if they want to outmuscle Schalke for the 4th place, so expect them to come out gunz blazing at Freiburg. The visitors could get tired in the second half after playing their hearts out against Liberec just a couple of days ago. Take Gladbach to continue their run at home.
The -1,25 Asian Handicap looks to be the best bet here, Gladbach is a team that very often covers the spread – they did it in all 6 home games this season (including vs. Dortmund) and they did it in the last 4 games overall. Actually, all of Gladbach’s 8 wins so far have been by at least 2 goal difference! This would seem to call for a -1,5 handicap, but a small safety net in case of a 1 goal win could be a more clever choice for this game as long as the odds are decent – especially if you choose to go at it with big stakes, like I will do here. My pick is Borussia Moenchengladbach – Freiburg 2-0.
Pick: Borussia Moenchengladbach (-1,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.03 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 9.27
Event date: 1 December
Editor Facts
- Rostick is 2 for 2 in picks this weekend
