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Granada hosts Sevilla in the Copa Del Rey Round 16, this is the first leg of the tie. Sevilla of course are the odds favorites to advance, but Granada hopes to get a good result at home and enter with a chance in the reverse leg.
Granada started the new year with a 2-0 loss at Cordoba … a result coming to confirm the horrible form of Granada. Hosts won a single game from the last 15 and are on a 5 game winless streak … dropping to the 19th place in the standings and looking like one of the favorites for relegation. For sure Granada is thinking more about the league and according to team news will probably give a rest to 2-3 guys, but they are not taking the game lightly … the cup draw is very kind to them and they could make a run in the competition.
Bet on Granada vs. FC Sevilla with the best under / over odds at Unibet.com now!
Sevilla is playing great football, comes after a 1-0 win vs. Celta Vigo and impressed again on the defensive end in that game. Sevilla did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw). However the most important fact about Sevilla today is the team news: they will not count on 4 key players (rest / injuries). According to the official website of the club, Unai Emery will not have Beto, Tremoulinas, Bacca and Carrico … they didn’t travel to Granada. A couple of other important guys will probably be left on the bench.
Sevilla will find it harder to play without some of their best players but could still win vs. a very poor Granada team. However the 1×2 market is risky and I am much more comfortable betting on the under / over market. Sevilla defended excellent lately and should be able to keep this poor Granada side scoreless … but Sevilla will also have a tough time to score without the likes of Bacca. Granada will play defensive football for sure, hoping for a 0-0 or maybe a surprise 1-0 win, while Sevilla will hold possession and try to find the winning goal over the 90 minutes. Under 2,5 goals is the bet to take, so that will be my tip … and I will stake 9 units on the pick. I have to say the last 4 meetings all ended with over 2,5 goals, but I don’t think it is relevant for today … there are different circumstances. Correct score prediction: Granada – Sevilla 0-1.
Pick: under 2,5
Odds: 1.69 @ Unibet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 6.21
Event date: 8 January
