Betdistrict.com
Fifth placed Grimsby and third placed Kidderminster square off in a very interesting Conference National matchup, with important implications in the playoff and promotion battle.
Grimsby Town is playing some good football so far this season, they are 2 points behind Kidderminster but they have 2 games and look good value to catch a playoff place, if not even direct promotion. Grimsby`s recent form is particularly impressive, with 9 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in the last 12 matches in all competitions. However, last time out in the Conference Premier, Grimsby was held to a 1-1 home draw by Welling United (after 4 consecutive league wins). The hosts are playing balanced football, goood defense, good offense, and I really rate them as one of the best teams in this league.
Kidderminster Harriers, like Grimsby, are hoping for at least a playoff spot this season. The visitors are playing an attractive brand of football, very offensive, scoring 38 goals in the 22 rounds elapsed, but also conceding 27. Kidderminster’s promotion hopes have taken a blow with 2 defeats in the last two rounds and the visitors will be desperate to get something out of this match, preferably a win.
 |
Bet with the best odds and highest limits at Pinnacle. |
Team news: Kidderminster suffered a blow last round, with 2 key men receiving bookings and thus being suspended for today (Gittings, Morgan Smith). No other new injuries or suspensions for either of the two teams.
Grimsby has a bad H2H against Kidderminster, the last win for the home side coming in 2005. Since then, Kidderminster has won 4, while 3 games finished undecided. Even so, considering the current form of the two teams and the home court advantage that Grimsby has, Grimsby to win seems to be a good choice, especially at these kind of odds. However, I will go with a safety first approach here and I will pick a bet on goals, which I think it`s more likely to end up a winner, even though it might have a little less value than Grimsby to win (nevertheless, these excellent 1.88 odds from Pinnacle on the over 2.5 are also giving this bet excellent value).
Seven of the last nine games between the two sides have finished with at least 3 goals. Last season, Kidderminster won two goal fests, 3-1 and 4-2. The Harriers are an all out attacking team and they are due for a big scoring night after managing just one goal in their last 2 outings. On the other hand, their woeful defense should not pose much of a threat for a solid Grimsby side that has proved its scoring abilities (1.5 goals scored per game). My pick is over 2.5 goals and I can see an end result like Grimsby Town – Kidderminster Harriers 2-1 or 2-2.
Pick: over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.04
Event date: 19 December
Editor Facts
- Rostick is 3 for 3 in Conference tips this season
