Haugesund vs. Molde in round 11 of the Norwegian Tippeligaen, Friday May 23. Unbalanced game on paper between the last and the first placed teams in the league.
Haugesund only has 6 points in 10 matches and is dead last in the standings; an amazing drop after last season they finished on an amazing 3rd place. Haugesund does not have the same strength at last year but still was expected to do better and stay safe from relegation. The way they are playing now, they could very well find themselves in the 2nd league this season. Haugesund finally won a point last round after 3 consecutive defeats, but it was a largely unimpressive 0-0 draw vs. rivals Sandnes Ulf in a match between the 2 worst teams in the league so far.
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As opposed to Haugesund, Molde got off to a flying start to the season: 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat and the team is on the 1st place in the standings, 5 points clear of Stromsgodset. They have the best offense and best defense in the league. Molde has a great team this year and is the overwhelming favorite to win the title, they will probably do it, I don’t see anyone who can stop them. Last round Molde won against an undefeated Viking side at home with 1-0, scoring the winner in injury time in a very entertaining match.
Molde has an amazing attack with at least 5-6 players that are banging in regular goals and can score at anytime. Against a team like Haugesund who allows almost 2 goals per game and is out of form, Molde has good chances to go on an score 2, 3 or maybe even more goals.
I see Molde winning this game comfortably. Haugesund will probably improve at some point and avoid relegation but they are not top 10 material this season even if they will turn their form around. Molde is dominating in Norway and probably they won’t lose points to often this season – and a match vs. Haugesunt at the moment seems like the most unlikely to produce an upset. I think Molde to win is the correct tip on this game. They could well put some goals past Haugesund so I am picking Molde to win and also cover a 1 goal asian handicap. This match really does not loke like a potential upset and Pinnacle has very, very good odds for this bet. Correct score prediction: Haugesund – Molde 0-3.
Pick: Molde (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.25 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 10
Event date: 23 May