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The KNVB Cup second round sees first division sides Heerenveen and Twente fighting early for a chance to go further in the competition. This is set to be a great game between two quality teams who are now placed 3rd and 4th in the league, both with 12 points in 7 rounds.
Heerenveen is having a great campaign until now but their form took a turn for the worst with just 1 win in the last 5 league games. They will try to recover with a cup win today but it will be no easy task. Twente is playing just slightly better, 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 league games.
Heerenveen has a full squad to choose from and they are not expected to mingle with the usual starting lineup. Promes and Castagnios will sit this one out for Twente, both of them offensive players. Besides them, Twente also has a full squad.
Both Heerenveen and Twente are free scoring sides, playing attacking football. It’s enough to look at the stats and see that the hosts are scoring almost three goals per game in the league, with Twente finding the net more than 2 times per match. If Twente has been rather tight at the back, Heerenveen has conceded no less than 15 goals in 7 rounds. Scores like 4-3, 5-1 or 6-2 have occurred between these two offensive sides in the last few years.
Cup games are even more open than league ones in Holland, and for sure we will see a very fast paced and spectacular game with counters from both sides and quick positional attacks. It seems that only a very low conversion rate of chances into goals could hurt this bet. The two offensive absences that Twente has are not enough to change their gameplan. The only real argument against an over 2,5 is the fact that Heerenveen and Twente were involved in a 1-1 draw earlier in the league, but this can be attributed to the fact that today`s hosts are much more cautious when playing on the road. That game had a nice flow anyway and in different circumstances it could have went over. It’s hard to envision such attacking sides finishing with under 2,5 goals two times in a row, especially when they are playing in the cup.
Pick: over 2,5
Odds: 1.50 @ Bwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4
Event date: 26 September
Editor Facts
- Ocean is 11 for 14 in September
