Hertha – Wolfsburg

Hertha Berlin hosts VFL Wolfsburg in the 5th round of the German Bundesliga. In my opinion there is very good value in the odds on this match.

Hertha did not win a game yet and has only 2 points in 4 matches … they are a good team especially at home but their defense is in a chaotic state right now allowing goal after goal and the attack can not make up … even if it’s working well. All of Hertha’s matches saw at least 4 goals and last round they made a 2-2 draw at Freiburg. Hertha has a goal difference of 7-11 in just 4 matches and again will miss some defensive players today. Langkamp, Baumjohann, Gersbeck, Cigerci and Schultz will not play.

Hertha Berlin lineup: Kraft – Pekarik, Lustenberg, Brooks, Bergh – Skjelbred, Hosogai – Beerens, Ronny, Kalou – Schieber

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After losing 4-1 to Everton in Europa League Wolfsburg recovered in an incredible way … 4-1 home win over red hot Leverkusen was a great result over the weekend. Wolfsburg has “only” 8-6 goal difference in 4 rounds but they are one of the most offensive teams in Bundesliga and their attack is working better and better lately … Wolfsburg scored and conceded at least a goal in every match this season. Today Wolfsburg will miss Lopez, Ochs, Trasch and Seguin.

Wolfsburg lineup: Benaglio – Jung, Naldo, Knoche, Rodriguez – Gustavo, Malanda – Caligiuri, Arnold, De Bruyne – Olic

These teams are playing total attacking football and I am very surprised that in a league like Bundesliga with get so high odds for an over 2,5 goals bet. For sure we will have a very entertaining game with both teams looking to win and a lot of counterattacks from both sides … Wolfsburg can surely score more than once vs. the very poor defense of Hertha, while Hertha at home can bang goals vs. anybody and surely they will have lots of chances vs. an offensive Wolfsburg side. The statistics say a lot but leaving the statistics aside, it`s just the type of football that these two teams play that doesn’t allow me to look at anything else but the over … also Hertha has some defensive missings. My tip will be over 2,5 goals to be scored (for sure the odds will drop until match time). Maximum stakes warranted on this bet in my opinion. Correct score prediction: Hertha Berlin – Wolfsburg 2-2.

Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.86 @ Sbobet
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 8.6
Event date: 24 September