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Switzerland must get a better result against Honduras than Ecuador gets against France if they are to qualify from the 2nd place. However, they depend solely on themselves, and even if Ecuador beats France, Switzerland can still go trough if they defeat Honduras by 3 or more goals (goal difference is the main tiebreaker in the World Cup).
Honduras is out of the competition and they will likely finish on the last place as well. I rated Honduras as the weakest team in the World Cup prior to the competition and, with all due respect, they didn`t do much to erase that impression. Honduras does have some fighting spirit but they lack quality, their offense is extremely poor with Bengston and Costly up front, while their defense is not to be trusted, we saw a lot off errors and blunders in the first two matches. What I don`t like about Honduras is that they are keen on wasting time and making very dangerous tackles. The Central Americans started well both against France (0-0 until a 45th minute penalty + sending off) and Honduras (led 1-0), but faded away in the second half in both matches and in the end were lucky to not lose by a bigger margin.
Switzerland’s defensive efforts were at an all time low against France, I was surprised at the poor performance by the Swiss, even if France is a world class side and played a good match. Switzerland has a good, cohesive team but they did not impress so far in Brazil, they were lucky to win their first match against Ecuador, where a draw would have been the correct score. Still, Switzerland is in a good position to qualify and will look to complete the job today.
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Team news & lineups
Honduras has a full squad to choose from and they will get Winston Palacios back after suspension as well. Switzerland only has von Bergen doubtful.
Honduras: Valladares – Beckeles, Izaguirre, Garrido, Bernardez, Figueroa – Garcia, Claros, Espinoza – Costly, Bengston
Switzerland: Benaglio – Lichsteiner, Rodriguez, Inler, Djourou, Von Bergen – Shaqiri, Behrami, Seferovic, Xhaka – Mehmedi
I really like Switzerland to win and qualify here. They are so much better than Honduras in every aspect of the game and the 2-5 loss against France actually works like a charm for this bet. Surely a quality coach like Hitzfeld has taken all measures to improve the weaknesses showed in that game and we should expect Switzerland to be much better here. Of course, they are also the more motivated side. Honduras will fight and I expect a decent performance from them, but Switzerland should have too much in the end. Considering Honduras’ poor defense and the fact that the Europeans might need a big win, my tip is Switzerland to win with a 1,25 asian handicap – theywill be focused to keep a clean sheet after the horrible defensive performance in the last match and should get at least 2 goals over the 90 minutes. Odds are going down big time on Switzerland to win and on all the handicaps involved. Prediction: Honduras – Switzerland 0-2.
Pick: Switzerland (-1,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.04 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 9.36
Event date: 25 June
