Internacional hosts champions Cruzeiro at Centenario in the 7th round of the Brazil Serie A, Sunday 25th May.
Internacional is the only undefeated team in the division after the first 6 matches but also they are having some trouble winning games, continuing last year’s tradition. Inter has 3 wins and 3 draws so far and they are having the same problems which saw them finish with 15 tied games last year – they struggle to find that edge to get them wins. The hosts are on the back of two successive draws but on the other hand they won all home games so far this season so that is good news for them. Team news for Inter are worrying, they will miss 5 players for sure (Gilberto, Aranguiz, Maurides, Paulao and Alex) and 3 other guys are questionable.
Internacional: Dida – Diogo, Ernando, Juan, Fabricio – Willians, Wellington – Valdivia, D’Alessandro, Otavio – Moura
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Cruzeiro won the league in style last season (11 points clear of the 2nd place despite not winning any of the last 4 games) and again they are on the first place with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The visitors won their last two games but today it will be a tough game at Centenario. Unlike other sides in Brazil, Cruzeiro is counting more on young emerging players than on old stars, their only player with big european pedigree is Julio Baptista. Team news for Cruzeiro say that Rafael and Elber are out.
Cruzeiro: Fabio – Mayke, Dede, Rodrigo, Egidio – Henrique, Souza – Ribeiro, Goulart, Willian – Moreno
Cruzeiro is the best team in the country this year as well and it is hard to bet against them, especially since they are in good form with 2 consecutive wins. Internacional misses some important players and even though they won all home games so far, I think they won’t be able to find the needed edge to win against a team like Cruzeiro – as previously said they struggle to win games and Cruzeiro is the toughest opponent they can get. The question is whether to risk with the X sign or go with the x2. I will take the risk with the draw at great odds because Internacional is a good team as well, draw-prone and they have been very good at home. I see a tight match and the most likely result is the X. I will go on to bet with a sensible stake for a draw but I think the odds payout is worth it. Correct score prediction: Internacional – Cruzeiro 1-1.
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.34 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 14.04
Event date: 25 May