Japan – Zambia

Florida, USA will be the hosts of the Japan – Zambia International Friendly match in the night of 6th June.

Japan will try to make it 5 wins in the last 5 matches against Zambia. The asians are on a roll, beating Belgium, New Zealand, Cyprus and Costa Rica in the last 4 games, scoring 11 goals but also conceding 5. On tuesday against Costa Rica, Japan did very well to overturn a 1-0 deficit and win 3-1 in a dominating performance. Japan is a very good team and playing very good offensive football, fast on the breaks and with direct passes to the forwards. Alberto Zaccheroni has called for concentration for his players to win this match vs. Zambia and also more effectiveness from his strikers (pretty strange, because they are already scoring a lot). Japan is going to play with the best team, maybe only minor changes will be made.

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The Africans will play the first match in three months after a 2-1 win against Uganda in March. A form analysis for Zambia is hard to do because they played just 1 match with the best lineup in the last 8 months. Zambia failed to qualify for the World Cup finishing second in a group with Ghana and now tries to rebuild for the 2015 African Cup of Nations. Keeper and vice-captain Kennedy Mweene will not play for Zambia today because of an injury, which is a huge problem for the Africans: his replacements are basically semi-amateur players from the domestic league and the keepers selected for Zambia in the last 3 years have only one cap between them.

Considering the form of Japan and the difference quality this should be a win for the Asians. The fact that Zaccheroni wants even more attacking power despite the fact that they already have a lot, combined with Zambia’s keeper missing, makes it very hard to believe that the Africans will be able to contain this in-form Japan team and keep them from scoring 2 or more goals. I don’t think Zambia will be able to score, maybe once at best, they are not too good at all in the attacking department (in the last 14 matches against very poor opposition they scored more than 1 goal only against Somalia!). My tip for the match will be Japan to win with -1 asian handicap. I like the odds a lot and after the analysis I would say that the worst case scenario for this bet would be to get our money back. I am happy and confident to place high stakes at such odds. Pick Japan to cover the asian handicap vs. Zambia in this friendly game. Correct score prediction: Japan – Zambia 3-0.

Pick: Japan (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.09 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 9.81
Event date: 6 June