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This group is very interesting regarding the standings and qualification options. Atletico has 12 points, Juve 9 points and Olympiakos 6 points. Malmo has 3 points, but Malmo is not important in the standings.
Olympiakos has better head 2 head vs Juventus, so if Olympiakos wins (at home vs Malmo) and Juve loses this match, then Juve is eliminated. Juve were already eliminated in the last game vs Galatasaray last year so they know what it means. Atletico sit better in their direct head 2 head vs Juventus. So Juventus, in order to win the group need a win by 2 goals or more. If Juve and Atletico draw, both teams are qualified, Atletico #1 and Juventus #2 in the standings.
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In these conditions, and knowing Allegri and his attitude towards decisive matches, he will play for the draw.
Atletico come into this match more relaxed, it’s hard to beat Atletico, not to mention to beat them by 2 goals. So Atletico might give 100%, like they usually do. Even if Atletico die in the field, it will not be easy to beat Juventus, who is not spectacular this season, but extremely solid in the defense.
I expect a tactical game (Allegri also said this) and a draw that will make both coaches happy and assure qualification for both teams. I tip the draw here and I will bet 6 units at odds of 3.21 at Youwin.
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.21 @ Youwin
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 13.26
Event date: 9 December
I’m pretty sure Allegri and most of the players said they are going for a win.
I did not say Allegri said he will play for the draw, no coach would ever say that.
I said that Allegri said(Source: UEFA) that he expects a tactical game.