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Last chance for both teams to stay in the qualification fight when Krasnodar hosts Lille in the Europa League group H today.
Krasnodar has 2 points in this group because of draws with Lille and Everton but got abused by Wolfsburg, allowing 9 goals in 2 games from the Germans … defense has been the problem for Krasnodar all season but they can brag with a much improved performance resently … 2-0 vs. Rubin Kazan and 2-1 vs. CSKA Moscow in last two games. Hosts need a win to hope for qualification, though they are 5 points behind and speaking realistically they have almost no chance and they know it.
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Lille has not won any of their last 8 games and it is incredible what is happening with this team, for sure a quality team. The form is horrific and Lille is actually playing worse and worse … last two games were 0-2 and 0-3 vs Everton and Reims, scored only 1 goal in last 5 games. Fortunately for Lille they had almost 20 days of break from their last match so maybe sorted some things out. They are 4 points behind the second place in the EL group but if they win today they can hope realistically to have a chance, playing at home vs Wolfsburg in the last game.
My tip will be the draw. Lille has the quality but with their form you have to be crazy to back them, specially in the cold Russian weather. Krasnodar has played very well in the last two games but they did not show they have what it takes to get winning results in european games this season. I like the draw very much here … it will help nobody but usually this games end up with such a result. I can see the score in France (1-1) happening again and I think this match has the highest chances for a draw from all Europa League matches today. Correct score prediction: Krasnodar – Lille 1-1.
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.50 @ Bet365
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 12.5
Event date: 27 November
