Las Palmas – Deportivo

Las Palmas La Coruna preview

The 19th round of the Spanish Primera Division will kick off on Friday with the meeting between Las Palmas and Deportivo La Coruna.

Las Palmas is having a great season, sitting on the 10th place and playing positive, attacking minded football. The home side is in pretty good form as well, with 2 wins and 2 losses in all competitions since the New Year. The two losses came at the hands of Atletico Madrid and Barcelona, so they are excusable – even though the 0-5 drubbing at Camp Nou last weekend was nothing to be proud about. Arguably the most impressive achievement so far for Las Palmas is the fact that they are yet to lose at home this season.

If Las Palmas has not lost a single home game in La Liga, Deportivo La Coruna is on the opposite spectrum, having failed to win a single road game this season (4 draws, 5 losses). On the bright side, Super Depor has played pretty good football in the last month or so and they are undefeated in their last 6 matches. The 4 games they played in 2017 all ended in draws, including 0-0 at home against Villarreal last weekend.

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Team news & lineups:

Boateng, Artiles and Garcia are out for Las Palmas, while Castellano, Simon and Bigas are doubtful. As for La Coruna, they will miss Gil, Fajr, Gama and possibly Valle.

Las Palmas: Varas – Macedo, Lemos, Bigas, Castellano – Viera, Mesa, Gomez – El Zhar, Livaja, Tana

Deportivo La Coruna: Tyton – Juanfran, Arribas, Sidnei, Navarro – Santos, Borges – Moreno, Colak, Luisinho – Andone

With Las Palmas drawing 4 of 9 home games and Deportivo drawing 4 of 9 away games (and 4 draws in a row overall), stats alone suggest that there`s good value to be taken on the draw.

However, it`s not all about stats, as the way these two are playing right now also suggests a close match. Both sides are in good form, playing good football and Deportivo has been very hard to beat lately, so it`s hard separating the two.

I believe Deportivo is solid enough right now to avoid a loss despite their form away from home. At the same time, it looks really unlikely for them to claim their first road win of the season against a team like Las Palmas, which has not lost at home.

My tip here is the draw but I will take insurance in case the home sides finds a way to win – so a draw on the Las Palmas win no bet market. In my opinion there is low risk on this bet and I love the odds. Prediction: Las Palmas – Deportivo La Coruna 1-1.

Pick: Draw – Las Palmas win no bet
Odds: 1.80 @ Bwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.40
Event date: 20 January

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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