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Lazio will host rivals AS Roma in the first leg of the Coppa Italia semifinals, one of the rare Rome derbies to be played under floodlights.
Lazio is on a good run, winning 4 and drawing 1 of their last 5 matches in all competitions. The hosts are on the back of a 1-0 win over Udinese, which allowed them to climb up to the 5th place in the Serie A. It has been a good season for Lazio so far, but the result over the two legs with Roma has the potential to make or break it.
Roma is flying high right now, winning 6 of the last 7 matches in all competitions. Their only defeat doesn`t even count, as Roma sent the reserves against Villarreal (0-1), after winning 4-0 in Spain. Going further with the stats, Roma won 11 out of the last 13 so they are showing great form and consistency both long term and short term. Roma just beat Inter with an impressive 3-1 scoreline at Giuseppe Meazza over the weekend.
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Lazio has a few serious problems ahead of the derby, as Radu, Lulic and Patric are all suspended, while Marchetti is highly doubtful. Roma will only miss Florenzi.
Lazio: Strakosha – Basta, De Vrij, Hoedt, Lukaku – Parolo, Biglia, Milinkovic-Savic – Keita, Immobile, Anderson
AS Roma: Szczesny – Rudiger, Fazio, Manolas – Peres, Strootman, De Rossi, Emerson – Nainggolan – Salah, Dzeko
AS Roma hasn`t won a trophy since 2008 and they will feel the 2017 Coppa Italia is their best chance for silverware for sime time. It would be a great achievement in Totti’s final season and meeting Lazio in the semifinals, this will be a huge game for both clubs.
Lazio hasn`t beaten Roma in the last 8 games – with Roma winning 5 of those, including the last 4. The so called visitors have been dominating the derby lately and looking at their recent form and at Lazio’s suspensions, Roma seems to have the first chance yet again.
However, given the fact that Lazio is also playing very well and considering this is a two leg semifinal, plus the derby factor, I believe Lazio will have enough to secure a draw and Roma will be happy with it. Roma isn`t exactly playing on the road and they have been amazing this season at Olimpico, but it won`t exactly feel like a home game either. Lazio`s fans should help their team not lose.
I don`t see any team getting in front after the first leg. My tip is a draw on the Roma win no bet market. Prediction: Lazio – AS Roma 1-1.
Pick: Draw – AS Roma win no bet
Odds: 1.95 @ Bwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.60
Event date: 1 March
